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Dinamo Bucuresti v FC Botosani

Dinamo Bucuresti
2–0Full time
FC Botosani

Liga I · FRI 16 OCT · Stadionul Dinamo

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 21:30
Dinamo Bucuresti 2–0 FC Botosani DINAMO BUCURESTI WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Dinamo Bucuresti win58%
The market said64%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.265
The market’s Brier score0.192

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay19 notes · 32 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Dinamo Bucuresti win at 58%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Dinamo Bucuresti 58% before kick-off, 58% now. 0–0 · 58–23–18
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Dinamo Bucuresti v FC Botosani
  4. 15′🟨 YELLOW · 14' Pape Djibril Diaw · FC Botosani
  5. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Martin Pascual · Dinamo Bucuresti
  6. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Dinamo Bucuresti win: 58% at kick-off, 48% now
  7. 37′Dinamo Bucuresti have had 9 attempts to 4 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 48–34–18
  8. 41′We said Dinamo Bucuresti at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 46%. 0–0 · 46–36–18
  9. 43′12 shots for Dinamo Bucuresti, 4 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 45–37–18
  10. 45′HALF-TIME Dinamo Bucuresti 0–0 FC Botosani
  11. 46′We said Dinamo Bucuresti at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–39–17
  12. 46′SECOND HALF Dinamo Bucuresti 0–0 FC Botosani
  13. 55′We said Dinamo Bucuresti at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–45–16
  14. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.6 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 39–45–16
  15. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Dinamo Bucuresti win 39%)
  16. 57′16 shots for Dinamo Bucuresti, 5 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 38–46–16
  17. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Dinamo Bucuresti win: 58% at kick-off, 38% now
  18. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' FC Botosani · On: Ştefan Bodişteanu · Off: Sebastian Mailat
  19. 62′We said Dinamo Bucuresti at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–51–15
  20. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Nikita Stoyanov · Dinamo Bucuresti
  21. 68′Dinamo Bucuresti have had 21 attempts to 5 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 30–57–13
  22. 69′We said Dinamo Bucuresti at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–59–13
  23. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Dinamo Bucuresti win: 58% at kick-off, 28% now
  24. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Dinamo Bucuresti · On: Oliver Hintsa · Off: D. Zandbergen
  25. 74′We said Dinamo Bucuresti at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–66–11
  26. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' FC Botosani · On: Charles Petro · Off: Enriko Papa
  27. 78′We said Dinamo Bucuresti at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–72–9
  28. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Andrei Dumiter · FC Botosani
  29. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Dinamo Bucuresti win: 58% at kick-off, 18% now
  30. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Marius Marian Croitoru · FC Botosani
  31. 81′We said Dinamo Bucuresti at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 1–0 · 93–7–0
  32. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Dinamo Bucuresti 1–0 FC Botosani
  33. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Dinamo Bucuresti win: 58% at kick-off, 93% now
  34. 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Dinamo Bucuresti win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 7%)
  35. 82′81′: Daniel Armstrong on the scoresheet for Dinamo Bucuresti, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 94–6–0
  36. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Dinamo Bucuresti · On: imran fetai · Off: Martin Pascual
  37. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Dinamo Bucuresti · On: Diogo Pinto · Off: Daniel Armstrong
  38. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Catalin Cirjan · Dinamo Bucuresti
  39. 84′We said Dinamo Bucuresti at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  40. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' FC Botosani · On: Mykola Kovtalyuk · Off: Andrei Dumiter
  41. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' FC Botosani · On: Zoran Mitrov · Off: Roland Idowu
  42. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 85' FC Botosani · On: Gabriel Gama · Off: Lucas de Vega Lima
  43. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Zoran Mitrov · FC Botosani
  44. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Dinamo Bucuresti win: 58% at kick-off, 98% now
  45. 92′FC Botosani are down to ten from 90′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–0 · 98–2–0
  46. 92′🟥 RED CARD · 90+1' Pape Djibril Diaw · FC Botosani
  47. 93′Dinamo Bucuresti ahead on 90′ through Catalin Cirjan. 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  48. 93′We said Dinamo Bucuresti at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  49. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Dinamo Bucuresti 2–0 FC Botosani · Catalin Cirjan (penalty)
  50. 95′SUBSTITUTION · 90+4' Dinamo Bucuresti · On: Darío Benavides · Off: David Mario Irimia
  51. 95′SUBSTITUTION · 90+4' Dinamo Bucuresti · On: Ianis Târbă · Off: Mamoudou Karamoko
  52. FTFULL TIME Dinamo Bucuresti 2–0 FC Botosani
  53. FTDinamo Bucuresti 2–0 FC Botosani · Dinamo Bucuresti win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dinamo Bucuresti are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dinamo Bucuresti 58%, draw 24%, FC Botosani 18%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Dinamo Bucuresti v FC BotosaniBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Dinamo Bucuresti win58%
Draw24%
FC Botosani win18%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 19:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueStadionul Dinamo

RefereeRares George Vidican

Line-ups

Dinamo Bucuresti

4-4-2

FC Botosani

4-3-3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dinamo Bucuresti

FC Botosani

7Days since last match6

Last match: 9 Oct · Liga I

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga I

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Dinamo Bucuresti11+1826
10FC Botosani11+414

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Dinamo Bucuresti

4-4-2

36 A. Bellaarouch

20 D. Irimia

44 Martín Pascual

15 N. Stoioanov

31 R. Opruț

77 D. Armstrong

29 Alberto Soro

90 A. Mărginean

10 C. Cîrjan

97 D. Zandbergen

9 M. Karamoko

Coach · Nuno Campos

Substitutes

8 · Diogo Pinto

30 · M. Duțu

18 · O. Hintsa

5 · Imran Fetai

26 · A. Mazilu

21 · Cristian Petrișor Mihai

66 · S. Opriș

19 · R. Radu

73 · A. Roșca

23 · I. Tarba

33 · Costin Gabriel Ungureanu

22 · Darío Benavides

FC Botosani

4-3-3

99 G. Anestis

2 B. Bayeye

4 A. Miron

23 D. Diaw

73 N. Ilaș

26 H. Ongenda

67 E. Papa

21 Lucas de Vega

8 R. Idowu

41 A. Dumiter

7 S. Mailat

Coach · M. Croitoru

Substitutes

94 · M. Diarra

37 · M. Bordeianu

10 · Ș. Bodișteanu

77 · Gama Gabriel

27 · Ionuț Cristian Gurău

22 · M. Kovtalyuk

9 · J. Marković

11 · Z. Mitrov

3 · C. Petro

90 · Mario Preda

44 · R. Sadiku

25 · A. Suchianu

Our number · dinamo bucuresti winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
58% The market64%
Us58%
Market64%

We make Dinamo Bucuresti a 58% chance to win. The market has them at 64%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Dinamo Bucuresti v FC Botosani1.77 – 0.88
Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 22 AugW5 D1 L0 · W3 D2 L1
Table places · points 26 v 141 v 10
The market · Dinamo Bucuresti win64% · ours 58%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65%70% 11 OCT 04:0516 OCT 18:41
Our probability · Dinamo Bucuresti win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 64% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Dinamo Bucuresti win58%64%−6
Draw24%21%+3
FC Botosani win18%15%+3
Over 2.5 goals49%59%−10
Both teams to score48%54%−6
Over 1.5 goals74%80%−6
Over 3.5 goals27%38%−11
Dinamo Bucuresti or draw82%85%−3
Dinamo Bucuresti clean sheet42%––
FC Botosani clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.4%
0123450 7.5 6.2 2.8 1 12.4 11.1 4.8 2 11.0 9.5 4.2 3 6.5 5.6 2.5 4 2.9 2.5 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Dinamo Bucuresti down, FC Botosani across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.60
Over 2.55 of 10
Both scored6 of 10
Last meetingsFCB 1–1 DIN · DIN 0–0 FCB · FCB 1–1 DIN · DIN 2–2 FCB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 22 Aug

DINAMO BUCURESTI

WDWWWW2–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 3–1 · 4–0 · 2–0

FC BOTOSANI

WDWDLW1–0 · 0–0 · 5–0 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Dinamo Bucuresti11+1826
2Rapid11+924
3Universitatea Craiova11+1623
4Petrolul Ploiesti11−119
5Universitatea Cluj11+218
6Farul Constanta11+217
7Corvinul Hunedoara11+316
8CFR 1907 Cluj11016
9FCSB11−315
10FC Botosani11+414
11Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe11−513
12Uta Arad11−312
13Arges Pitesti11−511
14Oţelul11−510
15FC Voluntari11−148
16Csikszereda11−181

The competition's standings before kick-off.