Csikszereda v Universitatea Craiova prediction · Liga I

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Csikszereda 0–1 Universitatea Craiova UNIVERSITATEA CRAIOVA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Universitatea Craiova win~~62%

~~The market said~~72%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.219

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.123

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 25 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Universitatea Craiova win at 62%.
0′KICK-OFF Csikszereda v Universitatea Craiova
1′Much as we predicted: Universitatea Craiova was 62% before kick-off and our model makes it 62% now. 0–0 · 16–21–62
22′7.0 shots for Universitatea Craiova, 1.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 17–26–57
24′9.0 shots for Universitatea Craiova, 1.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 17–27–56
25′9.0 shots for Universitatea Craiova, 1.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 17–27–56
30′13.0 shots for Universitatea Craiova, 1.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 17–29–54
32′13.0 shots for Universitatea Craiova, 1.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 17–30–54
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Universitatea Craiova win: 62% at kick-off, 52% now
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Universitatea Craiova win: 62% at kick-off, 53% now
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Universitatea Craiova win: 62% at kick-off, 52% now
37′🟨 YELLOW · 37' Máté Ódor · Csikszereda
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Universitatea Craiova win: 62% at kick-off, 53% now
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Universitatea Craiova win: 62% at kick-off, 51% now
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Universitatea Craiova win: 62% at kick-off, 51% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Universitatea Craiova win: 62% at kick-off, 51% now
45′SECOND HALF Csikszereda 0–0 Universitatea Craiova
45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Universitatea Craiova · On: Luca Băsceanu · Off: David Matei
51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Albert Stahl · Csikszereda
56′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Universitatea Craiova · On: Simon Elisor · Off: Assad Al-Hamlawi
70′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Universitatea Craiova · On: Aime Steven Nsimba Labe · Off: Nikola Stevanović
71′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Csikszereda · On: adam czekus · Off: Máté Ódor
71′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Csikszereda · On: Szabolcs Szalay · Off: Albert Stahl
71′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Csikszereda · On: Darius Bota · Off: Szabolcs Nyitra
75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Csikszereda 0–1 Universitatea Craiova
76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Csikszereda 0–1 Universitatea Craiova · Simon Elisor
78′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Csikszereda · On: Dusan Vukovic · Off: Gabriel Araújo Lima
80′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Simon Elisor · Universitatea Craiova
82′🟨 YELLOW · 82' adam czekus · Csikszereda
84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Universitatea Craiova · On: Alexandru Cretu · Off: Stefan Baiaram
84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Csikszereda · On: Nino Kukovec · Off: Veres Szilard
FTFULL TIME Csikszereda 0–1 Universitatea Craiova
FTCsikszereda 0–1 Universitatea Craiova · Universitatea Craiova win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Csikszereda win17%

Draw21%

Universitatea Craiova win62%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 16:00

VenueStadionul Municipal

RefereeMoroita·Andrei

Line-ups

Csikszereda

4-2-3-1

Universitatea Craiova

3-4-3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Csikszereda

Universitatea Craiova

20Days since last match22

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Universitatea Craiova	10	+15	20
16	Csikszereda	10	−17	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Csikszereda

4-2-3-1

94 E. Pap

22 M. Odor

24 J. Hegedus

3 R. Palmes

6 L. Paszka

8 S. Veres

13 A. Csuros

20 Lima

90 S. Nyitra

77 A. Stahl

27 M. Eppel

Coach · Valentin Suciu

Substitutes

34 · M. Karacsony

4 · A. Szabo

7 · D. Vukovic

18 · M. Tajti

10 · S. Jebari

30 · Z. Magyar

11 · A. Horvath

79 · S. Szalay

14 · L. Noveli

9 · N. Kukovec

17 · A. Czekus

55 · D. Bota

Universitatea Craiova

3-4-3

21 L. Popescu

3 O. Romanchuk

24 N. Stevanovic

6 V. Screciu

17 C. Mora

8 T. Baluta

20 A. Cicaldau

11 N. Bancu

30 D. Matei

9 A. Al Hamlawi

10 S. Baiaram

Coach · Filipe Coelho

Substitutes

90 · R. Sava

1 · A. Maxim

31 · R. Webster

5 · B. Roux

4 · A. Cretu

16 · J. Lameira

29 · L. Basceanu

19 · Heriberto Tavares

7 · S. Nsimba

22 · S. Elisor

18 · M. Radulescu

Our number · universitatea craiova winPublished 11 Oct 16:05

62% The market72%

Us62%

~~Market~~72%

We make Universitatea Craiova a 62% chance to win. The market has them at 72%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–2.0.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · universitatea craiova win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 73% to 71% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Csikszereda win	17%	10%	+6
Draw	21%	18%	+4
Universitatea Craiova win	62%	72%	−10
Over 2.5 goals	54%	57%	−3
Both teams to score	50%	46%	+4
Over 1.5 goals	78%	78%	0
Over 3.5 goals	32%	36%	−4
Csikszereda or draw	38%	28%	+10
Csikszereda clean sheet	15%	–	–
Universitatea Craiova clean sheet	42%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 11.1%

0123450 6.2 11.1 10.9 7.2 3.7 1 5.1 10.1 9.5 6.2 3.1 2 2.4 4.5 4.2 2.7 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Csikszereda down, Universitatea Craiova across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number7 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,682 Liga I matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga I matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.8% of games this season, across 84 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Csikszereda at home: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Universitatea Craiova away: 0.67 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.89 goals for Csikszereda, 1.97 for Universitatea Craiova. Most likely score 0–1.

Line-ups

Confirmed 11 Oct 15:44. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~UNI 5–0 CSI · CSI 1–2 UNI

Form · last six in Liga I

CSIKSZEREDA

DLLLLL0–0 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 1–5 · 1–3 · 0–2

UNIVERSITATEA CRAIOVA

DWDWWW1–1 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 4–0 · 1–0 · 5–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	11	+18	26
2	Rapid	10	+8	21
3	Universitatea Craiova	10	+15	20
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	10	+1	19
5	Universitatea Cluj	10	+3	18
6	Corvinul Hunedoara	11	+3	16
7	FCSB	11	−3	15
8	FC Botosani	11	+4	14
9	Farul Constanta	10	0	14
10	CFR 1907 Cluj	10	−1	13
11	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	11	−5	13
12	Uta Arad	11	−3	12
13	Arges Pitesti	10	−4	11
14	Oţelul	11	−5	10
15	FC Voluntari	11	−14	8
16	Csikszereda	10	−17	1