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Csikszereda v FC Voluntari

Csikszereda

2–1Full time

FC Voluntari

Liga I · SAT 24 OCT · Stadionul Municipal

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

Csikszereda 2–1 FC Voluntari CSIKSZEREDA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Csikszereda win~~41%

~~The market said~~33%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.533

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.676

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay20 notes · 42 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Csikszereda win at 41%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Csikszereda 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–25–34
1′KICK-OFF Csikszereda v FC Voluntari
3′We said Csikszereda at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 0–1 · 20–21–60
3′FC Voluntari find the net on 3′. 0–1. 0–1 · 20–21–60
3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Csikszereda 0–1 FC Voluntari
3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Csikszereda win: 41% at kick-off, 20% now
3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' FC Voluntari win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Csikszereda win 40%)
4′We said Csikszereda at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–21–60
4′GOAL DISALLOWED · 4' FC Voluntari
4′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 4' Csikszereda win: 41% at kick-off, 40% now
4′THE CALL SWINGS · 4' Csikszereda win is now our likeliest result at 40% (was FC Voluntari win 60%)
23′We said Csikszereda at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 1–0 · 68–20–12
23′Csikszereda ahead on 23′ through Márton Eppel. 1–0. 1–0 · 68–20–12
23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Csikszereda 1–0 FC Voluntari
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Csikszereda win: 41% at kick-off, 68% now
30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 68–20–11
37′We said Csikszereda at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–21–10
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Csikszereda win: 41% at kick-off, 71% now
45′SECOND HALF Csikszereda 1–0 FC Voluntari
45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' FC Voluntari · On: Merloi George Cristian · Off: Matko Babić
46′HALF-TIME Csikszereda 1–0 FC Voluntari
49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Csikszereda 1–1 FC Voluntari
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Csikszereda win: 41% at kick-off, 32% now
49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Csikszereda win 72%)
50′Csikszereda have had 13 attempts to 4 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 32–41–28
51′49′: Godfried Roemeratoe on the scoresheet for FC Voluntari. 2–1 · 73–20–7
51′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 73–20–7
51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Csikszereda 2–1 FC Voluntari
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Csikszereda win: 41% at kick-off, 73% now
51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Csikszereda win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 41%)
52′51′: Szabolcs Nyitra on the scoresheet for Csikszereda, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 73–20–7
52′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 31–42–27
52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Csikszereda 2–2 FC Voluntari
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Csikszereda win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Csikszereda win 73%)
56′We said Csikszereda at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–45–26
57′GOAL DISALLOWED · 57' FC Voluntari
57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Csikszereda win: 41% at kick-off, 74% now
57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Csikszereda win is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Draw 45%)
60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' FC Voluntari · On: Marvin Schieb · Off: Daniel Dumbravanu
60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' FC Voluntari · On: matej mamic · Off: Ion Gheorghe
64′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Remus Gutea · FC Voluntari
64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Csikszereda · On: Albert Stahl · Off: Szabolcs Szalay
66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' FC Voluntari · On: Adi Marian Chică-Roșă · Off: Mihai Roman II
68′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Albert Stahl · Csikszereda
69′We said Csikszereda at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Csikszereda win: 41% at kick-off, 81% now
73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Csikszereda · On: Luca Novelli · Off: Szabolcs Nyitra
74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Csikszereda · On: Veres Szilard · Off: artur horvath
76′We said Csikszereda at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' FC Voluntari · On: Mihael Onișa · Off: Godfried Roemeratoe
81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Csikszereda · On: Soufiane Jebari · Off: Gabriel Araújo Lima
82′We said Csikszereda at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Csikszereda win: 41% at kick-off, 91% now
88′We said Csikszereda at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
90′We said Csikszereda at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Csikszereda 3–1 FC Voluntari
93′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+3' Csikszereda
95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' Adi Marian Chică-Roșă · FC Voluntari
96′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' eduard chioveanu · FC Voluntari
97′2–1 at the end. Our 41% on Csikszereda comes in. 2–1 · 100–0–0
FTFULL TIME Csikszereda 2–1 FC Voluntari
FTCsikszereda 2–1 FC Voluntari · Csikszereda win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Csikszereda are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Csikszereda 41%, draw 25%, FC Voluntari 34%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Csikszereda v FC VoluntariBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Csikszereda win41%

Draw25%

FC Voluntari win34%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 13

VenueStadionul Municipal

RefereeGeorge Catalin Gaman

Line-ups

Csikszereda

4-2-3-1

FC Voluntari

4-4-2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Csikszereda

FC Voluntari

8Days since last match5

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga I

Last match: 19 Oct · Liga I

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	FC Voluntari	12	−15	8
16	Csikszereda	12	−18	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Csikszereda

4-2-3-1

94 E. Pap

22 M. Ódor

24 J. Hegedűs

3 R. Palmeş

6 L. Pászka

13 A. Csürös

11 A. Horváth

20 Gabriel Araújo Lima

90 S. Nyitra

79 S. Szalay

27 M. Eppel

Coach · D. Suciu

Substitutes

10 · Soufiane Jebari

1 · Z. Deaky

34 · M. Karácsony

30 · Z. Magyar

14 · L. Novelli

77 · A. Stahl

4 · A. Szabó

18 · M. Tajti

29 · R. Trif

16 · E. Toth-Pal

8 · S. Vereș

17 · Á. Czékus

FC Voluntari

4-4-2

31 M. Jurhar

6 S. Čestić

27 R. Crişan

4 D. Dumbrăvanu

30 A. Șuteu

8 I. Gheorghe

40 L. Cvek

80 G. Roemeratoe

11 R. Guțea

9 M. Babić

7 M. Roman

Coach · Florin Pîrvu

Substitutes

28 · B. Ștefan

19 · M. Schieb

22 · Nuno Rodrigues

44 · M. Onișa

10 · G. Merloi

23 · M. Mamić

25 · D. Kiki

5 · D. Haruţ

14 · A. Chioveanu

29 · A. Chică-Roșă

Our number · csikszereda winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 20 Oct 04:00 · locked at kick-off

41% The market33%

Us41%

~~Market~~33%

We make Csikszereda a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 33%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Csikszereda v FC Voluntari~~1.50 – 1.36

~~Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 28 Aug~~W0 D1 L5 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 2 v 8~~16 v 15

~~The market · Csikszereda win~~33% · ours 41%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Csikszereda win The market, margin stripped

Published at 40%, 41% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 33% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Csikszereda win	41%	33%	+8
Draw	25%	28%	−3
FC Voluntari win	34%	39%	−5
Over 2.5 goals	54%	53%	+1
Both teams to score	57%	57%	0
Over 1.5 goals	78%	76%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	32%	32%	0
Csikszereda or draw	66%	61%	+5
Csikszereda clean sheet	26%	–	–
FC Voluntari clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%

0123450 6.2 7.7 5.3 2.4 1 8.5 11.7 7.7 3.5 2 6.5 8.5 5.7 2.6 3 3.3 4.3 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Csikszereda down, FC Voluntari across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,696 Liga I matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga I matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.0% of games this season, across 98 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Csikszereda at home: 0.83 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). FC Voluntari away: 1.00 scored, 3.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.50 goals for Csikszereda, 1.36 for FC Voluntari. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~FCV 1–8 CSI · FCV 2–0 CSI · CSI 2–0 FCV · FCV 2–1 CSI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 28 Aug

CSIKSZEREDA

LLLLLD2–3 · 1–5 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–1

FC VOLUNTARI

DWLLLL2–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–3 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	12	+20	29
2	Rapid	12	+11	27
3	Universitatea Craiova	12	+18	26
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	13	+1	23
5	Universitatea Cluj	13	+5	22
6	FCSB	12	−2	18
7	Farul Constanta	12	0	17
8	CFR 1907 Cluj	12	−1	16
9	Corvinul Hunedoara	13	−2	16
10	Uta Arad	12	−2	15
11	FC Botosani	13	0	14
12	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	12	−5	14
13	Arges Pitesti	12	−5	12
14	Oţelul	12	−5	11
15	FC Voluntari	12	−15	8
16	Csikszereda	12	−18	2