

Arges Pitesti v Uta Arad
Arges Pitesti
Uta AradLiga I · SAT 24 OCT · Stadionul Orasenesc
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Arges Pitesti win at 42%.
- 0′KICK-OFF Arges Pitesti v Uta Arad
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Arges Pitesti 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–30–28
- 16′We said Arges Pitesti at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 0–1 · 15–24–61
- 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Arges Pitesti 0–1 Uta Arad
- 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' Arges Pitesti win: 42% at kick-off, 15% now
- 16′THE CALL SWINGS · 16' Uta Arad win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Arges Pitesti win 39%)
- 17′Uta Arad score on 17′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 15–24–61
- 19′We said Arges Pitesti at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–24–61
- 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Arges Pitesti win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.1 we expected. 0–1 · 12–24–64
- 41′We said Arges Pitesti at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–67
- 45′SECOND HALF Arges Pitesti 0–1 Uta Arad
- 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Oluwatobiloba Alagbe · Arges Pitesti
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Arges Pitesti · On: Taylor Luvambo · Off: Oluwatobiloba Alagbe Corrected
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Arges Pitesti · On: Vadim Rață · Off: Patrick dulcea Corrected
- 48′HALF-TIME Arges Pitesti 0–1 Uta Arad
- 48′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Arges Pitesti · On: Vadim Rață · Off: Claudiu Micovschi
- 55′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Sota Mino · Uta Arad
- 61′We said Arges Pitesti at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–75
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Uta Arad · On: Marinos Tzionis · Off: Jayson Papeau
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Arges Pitesti · On: Gabriel Charpentier · Off: Ionut Laurentiu Radescu
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Arges Pitesti win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
- 77′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Vadim Rață · Arges Pitesti
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Arges Pitesti · On: Robert Moldoveanu · Off: Ricardo Matos
- 80′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Antoni Ivanov · Uta Arad
- 82′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Leard·Sadriu · Arges Pitesti
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Uta Arad · On: Ismet Sinani · Off: omar sawy el
- 90′🟥 RED CARD · 90' Uta Arad
- 92′Uta Arad are down to ten from 90′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–1 · 0–3–97
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Uta Arad · On: Samuel Gueulette · Off: Marius Coman
- 93′0–1 at the end. Our 42% on Arges Pitesti misses, and the record keeps it. 0–1 · 0–0–100
- 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Florin Gheorghe·Borta · Arges Pitesti
- FTFULL TIME Arges Pitesti 0–1 Uta Arad
- FTArges Pitesti 0–1 Uta Arad · Arges Pitesti win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Arges Pitesti are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Arges Pitesti 42%, draw 30%, Uta Arad 28%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 41%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Arges Pitesti win42%
Uta Arad win28%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 16:00
RoundMatchday 13
VenueStadionul Orasenesc
RefereeGabriel Mihuleac
Match timeline
All events
Arges PitestiMIN
Uta AradEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Arges Pitesti
4-3-3
Uta Arad
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Arges Pitesti
Uta Arad
Last match: 19 Oct · Liga I
Last match: 18 Oct · Liga I
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Arges Pitesti
4-3-3
77 I. Nikić
2 A. Tofan
23 F. Borţa
3 L. Sadriu
25 Tiago Gonçalves
11 Y. Pîrvu
69 O. Adefunyibomi
16 I. Rădescu
19 C. Micovschi
17 Ricardo Matos
20 P. Dulcea
Coach · Bogdan Andone
Substitutes
34 · C. Căbuz
15 · Guilherme Garutti
27 · Rober Sierra
92 · T. Luvambo
22 · V. Raţă
8 · M. Mamadou
80 · X. Emmers
96 · S. Balaure
9 · G. Charpentier
18 · Daniel Sandu
99 · R. Moldoveanu
31 · M. Serban
Uta Arad
4-2-3-1
1 Márcio Rosa
6 A. Ivanov
15 P. Ouaneh
22 R. Bădescu
3 S. Alomeroviс
5 S. Mino
8 A. Roman
42 O. El Sawy
77 J. Papeau
11 H. Abdallah
9 M. Coman
Coach · A. Mihalcea
Substitutes
14 · S. Gueulette
10 · M. Tzionis
33 · A. Gorcea
20 · Denis Taroi
7 · Ismet Sinani
17 · Roland Remus Patrik Sabau
18 · Piciorus Deean Kevin Ionut
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Arges Pitesti
4-3-3
77 I. Nikić
2 A. Tofan
23 F. Borţa
3 L. Sadriu
25 Tiago Gonçalves
11 Y. Pîrvu
69 O. Adefunyibomi
16 I. Rădescu
19 C. Micovschi
17 Ricardo Matos
20 P. Dulcea
Coach · Bogdan Andone
Substitutes
34 · C. Căbuz
15 · Guilherme Garutti
27 · Rober Sierra
92 · T. Luvambo
22 · V. Raţă
8 · M. Mamadou
80 · X. Emmers
96 · S. Balaure
9 · G. Charpentier
18 · Daniel Sandu
99 · R. Moldoveanu
31 · M. Serban
Uta Arad
4-2-3-1
1 Márcio Rosa
6 A. Ivanov
15 P. Ouaneh
22 R. Bădescu
3 S. Alomeroviс
5 S. Mino
8 A. Roman
42 O. El Sawy
77 J. Papeau
11 H. Abdallah
9 M. Coman
Coach · A. Mihalcea
Substitutes
14 · S. Gueulette
10 · M. Tzionis
33 · A. Gorcea
20 · Denis Taroi
7 · Ismet Sinani
17 · Roland Remus Patrik Sabau
18 · Piciorus Deean Kevin Ionut
We make Arges Pitesti a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arges Pitesti win | 42% | 37% | +5 |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 0 |
| Uta Arad win | 28% | 33% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 42% | −7 |
| Both teams to score | 41% | 49% | −8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 67% | −5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 22% | −6 |
| Arges Pitesti or draw | 72% | 67% | +5 |
| Arges Pitesti clean sheet | 41% | – | – |
| Uta Arad clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
7 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 29 Aug
ARGES PITESTI
UTA ARAD
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 12 | +20 | 29 |
| 2 | Rapid | 12 | +11 | 27 |
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | 12 | +18 | 26 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 13 | +1 | 23 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 13 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 | FCSB | 12 | −2 | 18 |
| 7 | Farul Constanta | 12 | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 12 | −1 | 16 |
| 9 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 13 | −2 | 16 |
| 10 | Uta Arad | 12 | −2 | 15 |
| 11 | FC Botosani | 13 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 12 | −5 | 14 |
| 13 | Arges Pitesti | 12 | −5 | 12 |
| 14 | Oţelul | 12 | −5 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 12 | −15 | 8 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 12 | −18 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Dinamo Bucuresti
Rapid
Universitatea Craiova
Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Cluj
FCSB
Farul Constanta
CFR 1907 Cluj
Corvinul Hunedoara
FC Botosani
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Oţelul
FC Voluntari
Csikszereda