Arges Pitesti v CFR 1907 Cluj prediction · Liga I

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 18:49

Arges Pitesti 0–1 CFR 1907 Cluj CFR 1907 CLUJ WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said CFR 1907 Cluj win~~37%

~~The market said~~34%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.588

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.646

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 36 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said CFR 1907 Cluj win at 37%.
1′KICK-OFF Arges Pitesti v CFR 1907 Cluj
2′Much as we predicted: CFR 1907 Cluj was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 33–29–37
24′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Christopher Braun · CFR 1907 Cluj
32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was CFR 1907 Cluj win 33%)
33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was CFR 1907 Cluj win 33%)
33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was CFR 1907 Cluj win 32%)
34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was CFR 1907 Cluj win 32%)
34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was CFR 1907 Cluj win 32%)
35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was CFR 1907 Cluj win 32%)
36′THE CALL SWINGS · 36' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was CFR 1907 Cluj win 32%)
37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was CFR 1907 Cluj win 32%)
37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was CFR 1907 Cluj win 32%)
38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was CFR 1907 Cluj win 32%)
38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was CFR 1907 Cluj win 31%)
39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was CFR 1907 Cluj win 31%)
39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was CFR 1907 Cluj win 31%)
40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was CFR 1907 Cluj win 31%)
41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was CFR 1907 Cluj win 31%)
41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was CFR 1907 Cluj win 31%)
42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was CFR 1907 Cluj win 31%)
42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was CFR 1907 Cluj win 30%)
43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was CFR 1907 Cluj win 30%)
45′HALF-TIME Arges Pitesti 0–0 CFR 1907 Cluj
46′SECOND HALF Arges Pitesti 0–0 CFR 1907 Cluj
58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Arges Pitesti 0–1 CFR 1907 Cluj
58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Arges Pitesti 0–1 CFR 1907 Cluj · Anton Krešić
64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Arges Pitesti · On: Xian Emmers · Off: Ionut Laurentiu Radescu
64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Arges Pitesti · On: Oluwatobiloba Alagbe · Off: Vadim Rață
70′SUBSTITUTION · 70' CFR 1907 Cluj · On: Andres Emil Sfait · Off: Lorenzo Biliboc
70′SUBSTITUTION · 70' CFR 1907 Cluj · On: Adi Nalić · Off: Ervin Omic
74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Arges Pitesti · On: Mendy Mamadou · Off: Taylor Luvambo
74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Arges Pitesti · On: Gabriel Gheorghe · Off: Yanis Pirvu
76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Dorinel·Oancea · Arges Pitesti
83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' CFR 1907 Cluj · On: Sergiu Buş · Off: Stefan Dražić
88′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Andres Emil Sfait · CFR 1907 Cluj
89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' CFR 1907 Cluj · On: Viktor Gyorgy Kun · Off: Christopher Braun
FTFULL TIME Arges Pitesti 0–1 CFR 1907 Cluj
FTArges Pitesti 0–1 CFR 1907 Cluj · CFR 1907 Cluj win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get a pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 16:02 · locked at kick-off

Arges Pitesti win33%

Draw29%

CFR 1907 Cluj win37%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 16:00

VenueStadionul Orasenesc

RefereeAndrei Chivulete

Line-ups

Arges Pitesti

4-4-2

CFR 1907 Cluj

3-4-2-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Arges Pitesti

CFR 1907 Cluj

24Days since last match4

0Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	CFR 1907 Cluj	10	−1	13
13	Arges Pitesti	10	−4	11

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Arges Pitesti

4-4-2

77 I. Nikić

26 D. Oancea

2 A. Tofan

15 Guilherme Garutti

23 F. Borţa

11 Y. Pîrvu

22 V. Raţă

16 I. Rădescu

25 Tiago Gonçalves

92 T. Luvambo

17 Ricardo Matos

Coach · Bogdan Andone

Substitutes

69 · O. Adefunyibomi

14 · Andreas Balasa

96 · S. Balaure

34 · C. Căbuz

20 · P. Dulcea

80 · X. Emmers

29 · G. Gheorghe

8 · M. Mamadou

19 · C. Micovschi

18 · Daniel Sandu

31 · M. Serban

CFR 1907 Cluj

3-4-2-1

31 O. Vâlceanu

3 I. Gelashvili

41 A. Krešić

42 R. Pantalon

47 C. Braun

6 O. Perianu

18 E. Omić

14 Simão Rocha

11 A. Cordea

17 L. Biliboc

9 S. Dražić

Coach · M. Şumudică

Substitutes

99 · J. Dumas

86 · V. Kun

45 · M. Camora

7 · A. Nalić

29 · B. Omrani

66 · Cristian David

10 · A. Paun

77 · A. Sfait

96 · Á. Tordai

23 · A. Ziblim

20 · A. Țîrlea

19 · S. Buș

Our number · cfr 1907 cluj winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · locked at kick-off

37% The market34%

Us37%

~~Market~~34%

We make CFR 1907 Cluj a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 34%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.2.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Arges Pitesti win	33%	35%	−2
Draw	29%	31%	−1
CFR 1907 Cluj win	37%	34%	+3
Over 2.5 goals	38%	40%	−2
Both teams to score	44%	47%	−3
Over 1.5 goals	65%	65%	0
Over 3.5 goals	19%	21%	−3
Arges Pitesti or draw	63%	66%	−3
Arges Pitesti clean sheet	32%	–	–
CFR 1907 Cluj clean sheet	35%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.3%

0123450 11.4 12.3 7.2 2.8 1 11.4 13.3 7.5 2.9 2 6.2 7.0 4.0 3 2.3 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Arges Pitesti down, CFR 1907 Cluj across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number7 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,684 Liga I matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga I matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.8% of games this season, across 86 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 2.30 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Arges Pitesti at home: 1.00 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). CFR 1907 Cluj away: 1.00 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.07 goals for Arges Pitesti, 1.15 for CFR 1907 Cluj. Most likely score 1–1.

Line-ups

Confirmed 12 Oct 15:31. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.30

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~2 of 10

~~Last meetings~~CFR 1–1 ARG · ARG 0–1 CFR · ARG 3–0 CFR · CFR 0–2 ARG

Form · last six in Liga I

ARGES PITESTI

DLLLDL1–1 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–3

CFR 1907 CLUJ

WWDLWL1–0 · 3–2 · 0–0 · 1–3 · 3–1 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	11	+18	26
2	Universitatea Craiova	11	+16	23
3	Rapid	10	+8	21
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	11	−1	19
5	Universitatea Cluj	10	+3	18
6	Farul Constanta	11	+2	17
7	Corvinul Hunedoara	11	+3	16
8	FCSB	11	−3	15
9	FC Botosani	11	+4	14
10	CFR 1907 Cluj	10	−1	13
11	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	11	−5	13
12	Uta Arad	11	−3	12
13	Arges Pitesti	10	−4	11
14	Oţelul	11	−5	10
15	FC Voluntari	11	−14	8
16	Csikszereda	11	−18	1