FC Rapid Bucuresti W v Farul Constanţa W prediction · Liga 1 Feminin

Full timeGraded 21 Oct 15:31

FC Rapid Bucuresti W 1–3 Farul Constanţa W FARUL CONSTANŢA W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–5 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Farul Constanţa W win~~94%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.006

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 8 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Farul Constanţa W win at 94%.
1′Much as we predicted: Farul Constanţa W was 94% before kick-off and our model makes it 94% now. 0–0 · 3–4–94
1′KICK-OFF FC Rapid Bucuresti W v Farul Constanţa W
41′A goal for Farul Constanţa W on 40′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 1–4–95
41′⚽ GOAL · 40' FC Rapid Bucuresti W 0–1 Farul Constanţa W
45′Farul Constanţa W score on 44′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–99
45′⚽ GOAL · 44' FC Rapid Bucuresti W 0–2 Farul Constanţa W
45′HALF-TIME FC Rapid Bucuresti W 0–2 Farul Constanţa W
46′SECOND HALF FC Rapid Bucuresti W 0–2 Farul Constanţa W
57′FC Rapid Bucuresti W find the net on 56′. 1–2. 1–2 · 1–5–94
57′⚽ GOAL · 56' FC Rapid Bucuresti W 1–2 Farul Constanţa W
77′A goal for Farul Constanţa W on 76′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 0–1–99
77′⚽ GOAL · 76' FC Rapid Bucuresti W 1–3 Farul Constanţa W
FTFULL TIME FC Rapid Bucuresti W 1–3 Farul Constanţa W
FTFC Rapid Bucuresti W 1–3 Farul Constanţa W · Farul Constanţa W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–5 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Farul Constanţa W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FC Rapid Bucuresti W 3%, draw 4%, Farul Constanţa W 94%. Over 2.5 goals 96%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on FC Rapid Bucuresti W v Farul Constanţa WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

FC Rapid Bucuresti W win3%

Draw4%

Farul Constanţa W win94%

Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 8

VenueSuperbet Arena - Giulesti

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FC Rapid Bucuresti W

Farul Constanţa W

17Days since last match18

Last match: 4 Oct · Liga 1 Feminin

Last match: 3 Oct · Liga 1 Feminin

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Farul Constanţa W	7	+45	15
6	FC Rapid Bucuresti W	7	−12	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · farul constanţa w winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · updated 15 Oct 16:58 · locked at kick-off

94% The market–

Us94%

We make Farul Constanţa W a 94% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–6.4, and 1–5 is the single most likely score at 5%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FC Rapid Bucuresti W v Farul Constanţa W~~1.20 – 6.41

~~Form · last six in Liga 1 Feminin this season · since 30 Aug~~W2 D0 L4 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 6 v 15~~6 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Farul Constanţa W win

Published at 93%, 94% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FC Rapid Bucuresti W win	3%	–	–
Draw	4%	–	–
Farul Constanţa W win	94%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	96%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	99%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	91%	–	–
FC Rapid Bucuresti W or draw	6%	–	–
FC Rapid Bucuresti W clean sheet	<1%	–	–
Farul Constanţa W clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–5 at 4.9%

0123450 3.0 3.9 4.31 2.0 3.4 4.5 4.92 2.1 2.8 3.03 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FC Rapid Bucuresti W down, Farul Constanţa W across0–5 goals a side shown (45.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 592 Liga 1 Feminin matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga 1 Feminin matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026/27 in every competition we cover, 8.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FC Rapid Bucuresti W at home: 1.33 scored, 6.33 conceded a game (last 3). Farul Constanţa W away: 4.00 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.20 goals for FC Rapid Bucuresti W, 6.41 for Farul Constanţa W. Most likely score 1–5.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026/27

~~Goals a meeting~~8.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~FAR 7–1 FCR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga 1 Feminin this season · since 30 Aug

FC RAPID BUCURESTI W

LWLLLW1–6 · 8–0 · 2–4 · 2–5 · 1–9 · 4–0

FARUL CONSTANŢA W

WLWWLW22–1 · 0–1 · 12–0 · 8–1 · 2–3 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W	7	+31	18
2	Csikszereda MC W	7	+20	18
3	Farul Constanţa W	7	+45	15
4	SSU Poli Timişoara W	8	+26	15
5	Olimpia Cluj W	8	+6	15
6	FC Rapid Bucuresti W	7	−12	6
7	Univ. Craiova W	8	−49	3
8	Vasas Femina W	8	−67	0