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Model 1.2

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Sporting Lieşti v FC Bacau

Sporting Lieşti
13:00Upcoming
FC Bacau

Cupa României · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sporting LieştiDrawFC Bacau
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00
Before kick-off · Match result · FC Bacau 66%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC Bacau are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sporting Lieşti 16%, draw 18%, FC Bacau 66%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Sporting Lieşti v FC BacauBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Sporting Lieşti win16%
Draw18%
FC Bacau win66%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup stage

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sporting Lieşti

FC Bacau

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga III - Serie 4

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga II

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc bacau winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 01:06 · locked at kick-off
66% The market–
Us66%

We make FC Bacau a 66% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–2.5, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Sporting Lieşti v FC Bacau1.16 – 2.50
Form · Cupa României this season · since 5 AugW2 D1 L1 · W2 D0 L1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
65%70% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 07:47
Our probability · FC Bacau win

Published at 69%, 66% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sporting Lieşti win16%––
Draw18%––
FC Bacau win66%––
Over 2.5 goals71%––
Both teams to score63%––
Over 1.5 goals88%––
Over 3.5 goals50%––
Sporting Lieşti or draw34%––
Sporting Lieşti clean sheet8%––
FC Bacau clean sheet31%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.3%
0123450 2.8 6.2 8.0 6.7 4.2 2.11 2.7 7.7 9.3 7.8 4.8 2.42 4.3 5.4 4.5 2.8 3 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sporting Lieşti down, FC Bacau across0–5 goals a side shown (95.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cupa României this season · since 5 Aug

SPORTING LIEŞTI

WWDL4–2 · 4–2 · 1–1 · 1–4

FC BACAU

WWL3–0 · 3–0 · 1–2