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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Cupa României › Corona Braşov v Arges Pitesti

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Corona Braşov v Arges Pitesti

Corona Braşov
13:00Upcoming
Arges Pitesti

Cupa României · WED 28 OCT · Baza Sportiva Carpati

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Corona BraşovDrawArges Pitesti
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Arges Pitesti 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Arges Pitesti are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Corona Braşov 28%, draw 32%, Arges Pitesti 40%. Over 2.5 goals 30%, both teams to score 38%.

The AI’s read on Corona Braşov v Arges PitestiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Corona Braşov win28%
Draw32%
Arges Pitesti win40%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup stage

VenueBaza Sportiva Carpati

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Corona Braşov

Arges Pitesti

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga III - Serie 2

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga I

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · arges pitesti winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 01:06 · locked at kick-off
40% The market–
Us40%

We make Arges Pitesti a 40% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.1, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Corona Braşov v Arges Pitesti0.84 – 1.07
Form · Cupa României this season · since 29 JulyW3 D2 L0 · W0 D0 L1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 01:06
Our probability · Arges Pitesti win

Published at 45%, 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Corona Braşov win28%––
Draw32%––
Arges Pitesti win40%––
Over 2.5 goals30%––
Both teams to score38%––
Over 1.5 goals57%––
Over 3.5 goals13%––
Corona Braşov or draw60%––
Corona Braşov clean sheet34%––
Arges Pitesti clean sheet43%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 15.4%
0123450 15.2 15.4 8.5 3.0 1 12.0 13.8 7.1 2.5 2 5.2 5.6 3.0 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Corona Braşov down, Arges Pitesti across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cupa României this season · since 29 July

CORONA BRAŞOV

DWWWD1–1 · 3–0 · 3–1 · 3–2 · 2–2

ARGES PITESTI

L0–5