Home › Football › Stars League › Qatar SC v Al-Rayyan SC

Qatar SC v Al-Rayyan SC

Qatar SC

0–3Full time

Al-Rayyan SC

Stars League · FRI 9 OCT · Qatar Sports Club Stadium

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 18:32

Qatar SC 0–3 Al-Rayyan SC AL-RAYYAN SC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Al-Rayyan SC win~~53%

~~The market said~~62%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.334

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.214

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Qatar SC win24%

Draw23%

Al-Rayyan SC win53%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 15:45

Venue · Qatar Sports Club Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Qatar SC

4-4-2

17 A. N. Mahmoud

21 Abdullah Marafee

40 S. F. Diouf

24 N. Mason

15 K. Al-Obaidly

5 A. Gunnarsson

12 Ibrahim Masoud

6 Pau Prim

7 F. Selemani

11 Y. Boli

9 João Pedro

Coach · Tintín Márquez

Substitutes

23 · Sebastián Soria

33 · Adnan Saleh

74 · S. Al Abbasi

28 · A. Addai

66 · A. Q. Ayman Mohamed A.

2 · Nasir Baksh

14 · Said Brahmi

44 · A. Hanfy

16 · Abdulrahman Mohsin Ali

18 · Mohamed Mushrinn

Al-Rayyan SC

4-1-4-1

57 Mahmud Abunada

8 Jassem Gaber

13 André Amaro

5 David García

12 Ahmed Al Minhali

4 J. De Sart

11 Gabriel Pereira

40 Gregore

25 Otávio

10 Róger Guedes

30 Ahmed Alaa Eldin

Coach · Vicente Moreno

Substitutes

22 · Ahmed Al Ganehi

3 · Hazem Shehata

21 · Ibrahim Mohammed Al-Hassan

23 · S. Beldi

35 · Sami Mazen

2 · Abdalla Yousif

19 · Ahmed Al Rawi

6 · Abdulaziz Hatem

9 · A. Mitrović

17 · Youssef Ayman

31 · D. Amaro

33 · D. Diakite

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Qatar SC

4-4-2

17 A. N. Mahmoud

21 Abdullah Marafee

40 S. F. Diouf

24 N. Mason

15 K. Al-Obaidly

5 A. Gunnarsson

12 Ibrahim Masoud

6 Pau Prim

7 F. Selemani

11 Y. Boli

9 João Pedro

Coach · Tintín Márquez

Substitutes

23 · Sebastián Soria

33 · Adnan Saleh

74 · S. Al Abbasi

28 · A. Addai

66 · A. Q. Ayman Mohamed A.

2 · Nasir Baksh

14 · Said Brahmi

44 · A. Hanfy

16 · Abdulrahman Mohsin Ali

18 · Mohamed Mushrinn

Al-Rayyan SC

4-1-4-1

57 Mahmud Abunada

8 Jassem Gaber

13 André Amaro

5 David García

12 Ahmed Al Minhali

4 J. De Sart

11 Gabriel Pereira

40 Gregore

25 Otávio

10 Róger Guedes

30 Ahmed Alaa Eldin

Coach · Vicente Moreno

Substitutes

22 · Ahmed Al Ganehi

3 · Hazem Shehata

21 · Ibrahim Mohammed Al-Hassan

23 · S. Beldi

35 · Sami Mazen

2 · Abdalla Yousif

19 · Ahmed Al Rawi

6 · Abdulaziz Hatem

9 · A. Mitrović

17 · Youssef Ayman

31 · D. Amaro

33 · D. Diakite

Our number · al-rayyan sc winPublished 9 Oct 15:22

53% The market62%

Us53%

~~Market~~62%

We make Al-Rayyan SC a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.9.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · al-rayyan sc win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 61% to 62% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Qatar SC win	24%	17%	+7
Draw	23%	21%	+2
Al-Rayyan SC win	53%	62%	−9
Over 2.5 goals	61%	65%	−4
Both teams to score	61%	61%	0
Over 1.5 goals	83%	83%	0
Over 3.5 goals	39%	45%	−6
Qatar SC or draw	47%	38%	+9
Qatar SC clean sheet	15%	–	–
Al-Rayyan SC clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%

0123450 4.6 7.8 7.7 5.0 2.4 1 4.9 10.3 9.6 6.1 3.0 2 3.3 6.2 6.0 3.8 3 2.6 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Qatar SC down, Al-Rayyan SC across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 688 Stars League matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Stars League matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 2.30 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Qatar SC at home: 1.83 scored, 3.00 conceded a game (last 6). Al-Rayyan SC away: 2.17 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.25 goals for Qatar SC, 1.93 for Al-Rayyan SC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.30

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~QAT 3–3 ALR · ALR 1–1 QAT · ALR 2–0 QAT · QAT 1–2 ALR

Form · last six in Stars League

QATAR SC

WLDLLD2–0 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 2–6 · 0–1 · 0–0

AL-RAYYAN SC

WWWWDW3–0 · 4–0 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Sadd	4	+12	12
2	Al-Rayyan SC	4	+5	10
3	Al-Duhail SC	5	+6	9
4	Al Shamal	5	0	8
5	Al-Arabi SC	4	+2	6
6	Lusail City	4	+3	5
7	Al Wakrah	5	−4	5
8	Al Shahaniya	4	−2	4
9	Al Ahli Doha	4	−4	4
10	Al-Gharafa	5	−5	4
11	Qatar SC	4	−5	2
12	Al-Sailiya	4	−8	0