Al Sadd v Al-Duhail SC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Sadd win at 49%.
2. 2′Much as we predicted: Al Sadd was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–22–29
3. 2′KICK-OFF Al Sadd v Al-Duhail SC
4. 9′Al-Duhail SC find the net on 9′. 0–0 · 48–23–29
5. 10′We said Al Sadd at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 0–1 · 27–21–52
6. 10′⚽ GOAL · 9' Al Sadd 0–1 Al-Duhail SC · Jean-Charles Castelletto
7. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 10' Al Sadd win: 49% at kick-off, 27% now
8. 10′THE CALL SWINGS · 10' Al-Duhail SC win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Al Sadd win 27%)
9. 21′We said Al Sadd at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–22–54
10. 29′Sultan Al-Brake scores for Al-Duhail SC on 28′. 0–1 · 22–23–55
11. 29′We said Al Sadd at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–2 · 9–13–78
12. 29′⚽ GOAL · 28' Al Sadd 0–2 Al-Duhail SC · Sultan Al-Brake
13. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Al Sadd win: 49% at kick-off, 9% now
14. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Al Sadd 1–2 Al-Duhail SC
15. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Al Sadd win: 49% at kick-off, 21% now
16. 33′Al Sadd pull one back on 32′ through Giovani Henrique Amorim da Silva. 1–2. 1–2 · 21–23–56
17. 37′We said Al Sadd at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–2 · 19–24–57
18. 45′HALF-TIME Al Sadd 2–2 Al-Duhail SC
19. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Al Sadd win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Draw 32%)
20. 45′SECOND HALF Al Sadd 2–2 Al-Duhail SC
21. 47′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Roberto Firmino · Al Sadd
22. 49′Yusuf Abdurisag scores for Al Sadd on 45′. 1–2 · 15–25–60
23. 50′11 shots for Al-Duhail SC, 5 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 2–2 · 39–34–26
24. 50′4 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 39–34–26
25. 50′⚽ GOAL · 45+4' Al Sadd 2–2 Al-Duhail SC · Yusuf Abdurisag (assist Roberto Firmino)
26. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Al Sadd win: 49% at kick-off, 39% now
27. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Al Sadd win is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Al-Duhail SC win 26%)
28. 52′SUBSTITUTION · 51' Al-Duhail SC · On: Tahsin Jamshid · Off: Almoez Ali
29. 55′We said Al Sadd at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 37%. 2–2 · 37–37–25
30. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Pedro Miguel · Al Sadd
31. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Al Sadd win 35%)
32. 61′We said Al Sadd at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–42–24
33. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Al-Duhail SC · On: Mubarak Shanan Hamza · Off: Assim Madibo
34. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Al Sadd · On: Hashim Ali · Off: Yusuf Abdurisag
35. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Al Sadd · On: Mohamed Manai · Off: Mohamed Camara
36. 65′Al-Duhail SC have had 16 attempts to 10 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 32–45–23
37. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Al Sadd win: 49% at kick-off, 29% now
38. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Al Sadd · On: Agustin soria · Off: Giovani Henrique Amorim da Silva
39. 75′74′: Jean-Charles Castelletto on the scoresheet for Al-Duhail SC. 2–2 · 24–59–17
40. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Bassam Al-Rawi · Al-Duhail SC
41. 76′GOAL DISALLOWED · 75' Jean-Charles Castelletto · Al-Duhail SC
42. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Al Sadd win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
43. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Al Sadd · On: Younes El Hannach · Off: Pedro Miguel
44. 84′We said Al Sadd at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 2–2 · 12–79–9
45. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Al-Duhail SC · On: Amidou Doumbouya · Off: Marco Verratti
46. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Al Sadd win: 49% at kick-off, 9% now
47. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Krzysztof Piątek · Al-Duhail SC
48. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Boualem Khoukhi · Al Sadd
49. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Al Sadd · On: Tarek Salman · Off: Alessio Romagnoli
50. 92′We said Al Sadd at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–92–3
51. 96′90′: Tahsin Jamshid on the scoresheet for Al-Duhail SC. 2–2 · 2–96–2
52. 96′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 0–2–98
53. 96′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Al Sadd 2–3 Al-Duhail SC · Tahsin Jamshid
54. 96′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+6' Al-Duhail SC win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 2%)
55. FTFULL TIME Al Sadd 2–3 Al-Duhail SC
56. FTAl Sadd 2–3 Al-Duhail SC · Al Sadd win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.