Al-Gharafa v Al-Rayyan SC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al-Rayyan SC win at 48%.
2. 0′KICK-OFF Al-Gharafa v Al-Rayyan SC
3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Al-Rayyan SC 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 29–23–48
4. 22′🟨 YELLOW · 21' Ayoub Al-Oui · Al-Gharafa
5. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 44' David García · Al-Rayyan SC
6. 45′HALF-TIME Al-Gharafa 0–0 Al-Rayyan SC
7. 45′SECOND HALF Al-Gharafa 0–0 Al-Rayyan SC
8. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Al-Gharafa · On: Hassan Aladin · Off: Frank Magri
9. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Julien De Sart · Al-Rayyan SC
10. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Al-Rayyan SC win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
11. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Ferjani Sassi · Al-Gharafa
12. 54′We said Al-Rayyan SC at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 0–0 · 25–39–36
13. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.4 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 27–34–39
14. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Al-Rayyan SC win 35%)
15. 58′We said Al-Rayyan SC at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 24–42–34
16. 59′8 shots for Al-Rayyan SC, 3 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 24–42–34
17. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Diogo Amaro · Al-Rayyan SC
18. 67′We said Al-Rayyan SC at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 21–50–29
19. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Al-Rayyan SC win: 48% at kick-off, 28% now
20. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Al-Gharafa · On: Amro Surag · Off: Ismaël Bennacer
21. 72′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Ahmed Al Minhali · Al-Rayyan SC
22. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Al-Gharafa · On: Abdulrahman Al-Rashidi · Off: Dame Traore
23. 73′We said Al-Rayyan SC at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 18–58–24
24. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Al-Rayyan SC · On: Gabriel Pereira · Off: Julien De Sart
25. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Al-Rayyan SC · On: Abdulaziz Hatim · Off: Ahmed Al-Ganehi
26. 79′We said Al-Rayyan SC at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 13–69–18
27. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Al-Rayyan SC win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
28. 82′We said Al-Rayyan SC at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 10–76–14
29. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Saifeldeen Fadlalla · Al-Gharafa
30. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Al-Rayyan SC · On: Yousef Ayman · Off: Ahmed Alaaeldin
31. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Al-Rayyan SC · On: Aleksandar Mitrović · Off: André Amaro
32. 87′We said Al-Rayyan SC at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 6–85–9
33. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Al-Rayyan SC win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
34. 92′We said Al-Rayyan SC at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 3–93–4
35. 94′14 shots for Al-Rayyan SC, 4 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 2–96–2
36. 97′🟨 YELLOW · 90+6' Yacine Brahimi · Al-Gharafa
37. 98′Al-Gharafa are down to ten from 90′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 2–96–2
38. 98′🟥 RED CARD · 90+6' Pedro Rui da Mota Vieira Martins · Al-Gharafa
39. FTFULL TIME Al-Gharafa 0–0 Al-Rayyan SC
40. FTAl-Gharafa 0–0 Al-Rayyan SC · Al-Rayyan SC win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.