Al Shamal II v Muaither SC prediction · Second Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Al Shamal IIDrawMuaither SC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Muaither SC 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Muaither SC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Shamal II 27%, draw 24%, Muaither SC 49%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Al Shamal II v Muaither SCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Al Shamal II win27%

Draw24%

Muaither SC win49%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 16:30

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Shamal II

Muaither SC

14Days since last match13

Last match: 14 Oct · Second Division

Last match: 15 Oct · Second Division

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Muaither SC	4	+3	6
10	Al Shamal II	4	−7	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · muaither sc winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Muaither SC a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Al Shamal II v Muaither SC~~1.27 – 1.79

~~Form · Second Division this season · since 24 Aug~~W0 D1 L3 · W2 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 1 v 6~~10 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al Shamal II win	27%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Muaither SC win	49%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Al Shamal II or draw	51%	–	–
Al Shamal II clean sheet	17%	–	–
Muaither SC clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%

0123450 5.5 7.9 7.5 4.5 2.1 1 5.5 11.1 9.3 5.6 2.5 2 3.8 6.7 5.9 3.5 3 2.8 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Al Shamal II down, Muaither SC across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 304 Second Division matches up to 15 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.9% of games recently, across 304 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Al Shamal II at home: 0.25 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 4). Muaither SC away: 2.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.27 goals for Al Shamal II, 1.79 for Muaither SC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Second Division this season · since 24 Aug

AL SHAMAL II

DLLL0–0 · 0–2 · 0–3 · 1–3

MUAITHER SC

LWWL0–1 · 5–1 · 1–0 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al-Markhiya	4	+10	12
2	Al Kharaitiyat	4	+5	8
3	Al Mesaimeer	4	+5	7
4	Al Bidda SC	4	+2	7
5	Al Waab	4	+2	7
6	UMM Salal	4	−2	7
7	Muaither SC	4	+3	6
8	Al-Khor	4	+2	6
9	Qatar U23	4	−1	5
10	Al Shamal II	4	−7	1
11	Al-Gharafa B	4	−9	1
12	Al Rayyan SC B	4	−10	0