Al Kharaitiyat v Al Bidda SC prediction · Second Division

Full timeGraded 15 Oct 20:30

Al Kharaitiyat 5–2 Al Bidda SC AL KHARAITIYAT WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Al Kharaitiyat win~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.395

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay19 notes · 16 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Al Kharaitiyat win at 49%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Al Kharaitiyat 49% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–25–25
1′KICK-OFF Al Kharaitiyat v Al Bidda SC
2′Al Kharaitiyat find the net on 2′. 1–0. 1–0 · 75–16–9
2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Al Kharaitiyat 1–0 Al Bidda SC
2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Al Kharaitiyat win: 49% at kick-off, 75% now
3′We said Al Kharaitiyat at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–16–9
24′A goal for Al Kharaitiyat on 24′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 92–6–2
24′We said Al Kharaitiyat at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 2–0 · 92–6–2
24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Al Kharaitiyat 2–0 Al Bidda SC
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Al Kharaitiyat win: 49% at kick-off, 92% now
43′We said Al Kharaitiyat at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
45′HALF-TIME Al Kharaitiyat 2–0 Al Bidda SC
46′SECOND HALF Al Kharaitiyat 2–0 Al Bidda SC
55′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 2–0 · 96–3–0
63′Al Bidda SC score on 63′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 82–16–3
63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Al Kharaitiyat 2–1 Al Bidda SC
63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Al Kharaitiyat win: 49% at kick-off, 82% now
64′We said Al Kharaitiyat at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 2–1 · 82–15–3
65′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 83–15–2
66′Al Kharaitiyat find the net on 66′. 3–1. 3–1 · 98–2–0
66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Al Kharaitiyat 3–1 Al Bidda SC
66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Al Kharaitiyat win: 49% at kick-off, 98% now
67′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 98–2–0
70′A goal for Al Kharaitiyat on 70′ — 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
70′We said Al Kharaitiyat at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
70′5 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Al Kharaitiyat 4–1 Al Bidda SC
70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Al Kharaitiyat win: 49% at kick-off, over 99% now
74′Al Kharaitiyat score on 74′ to make it 5–1. 5–1 · 100–0–0
74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Al Kharaitiyat 5–1 Al Bidda SC
76′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 5–1 · 100–0–0
83′Al Bidda SC find the net on 83′. 5–2. 5–2 · 100–0–0
83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Al Kharaitiyat 5–2 Al Bidda SC
84′7 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 5–2 · 100–0–0
FTFULL TIME Al Kharaitiyat 5–2 Al Bidda SC
FTAl Kharaitiyat 5–2 Al Bidda SC · Al Kharaitiyat win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Kharaitiyat are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Kharaitiyat 49%, draw 26%, Al Bidda SC 25%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Al Kharaitiyat v Al Bidda SCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

Al Kharaitiyat win49%

Draw26%

Al Bidda SC win25%

Kick-offTHU 15 OCT · 17:45

RoundMatchday 4

VenueAl Khor Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Kharaitiyat

Al Bidda SC

17Days since last match14

Last match: 28 Sept · QSL Cup

Last match: 1 Oct · QSL Cup

0Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Al Bidda SC	3	+5	7
7	Al Kharaitiyat	3	+2	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al kharaitiyat winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Al Kharaitiyat a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Al Kharaitiyat v Al Bidda SC~~1.58 – 1.06

~~Form · Second Division this season · since 23 Aug~~W1 D2 L0 · W2 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 5 v 7~~7 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al Kharaitiyat win	49%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Al Bidda SC win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Al Kharaitiyat or draw	75%	–	–
Al Kharaitiyat clean sheet	35%	–	–
Al Bidda SC clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.5%

0123450 7.9 7.0 4.0 1 10.6 12.5 6.3 2.2 2 8.9 9.3 4.9 3 4.7 4.9 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Al Kharaitiyat down, Al Bidda SC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 301 Second Division matches up to 15 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.5% of games recently, across 301 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.30 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Al Kharaitiyat at home: 2.00 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Al Bidda SC away: 1.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.58 goals for Al Kharaitiyat, 1.06 for Al Bidda SC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.30

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ALB 0–2 ALK · ALK 2–1 ALB · ALK 0–0 ALB · ALK 1–1 ALB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Second Division this season · since 23 Aug

AL KHARAITIYAT

DWD0–0 · 3–1 · 1–1

AL BIDDA SC

DWW1–1 · 2–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al-Markhiya	4	+10	12
2	Al Mesaimeer	4	+5	7
3	Al Bidda SC	3	+5	7
4	Al Waab	4	+2	7
5	UMM Salal	4	−2	7
6	Muaither SC	3	+4	6
7	Al Kharaitiyat	3	+2	5
8	Al-Khor	3	−1	3
9	Qatar U23	3	−2	2
10	Al Shamal II	4	−7	1
11	Al-Gharafa B	4	−9	1
12	Al Rayyan SC B	3	−7	0