Sanjoanense v Nacional

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Nacional win at 67%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Nacional 67% before kick-off, 67% now. 0–0 · 14–19–67
3. 1′KICK-OFF Sanjoanense v Nacional
4. 6′Little has changed for our model: Nacional 67% before kick-off, 66% now. 0–0 · 14–20–66
5. 33′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Nacional
6. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Nacional win: 67% at kick-off, 57% now
7. 40′We said Nacional at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 55%. 0–0 · 15–30–55
8. 42′We said Nacional at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 15–31–54
9. 45′HALF-TIME Sanjoanense 0–0 Nacional
10. 45′SECOND HALF Sanjoanense 0–0 Nacional
11. 51′We said Nacional at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 15–36–49
12. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.3 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 15–38–47
13. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Nacional
14. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Nacional win: 67% at kick-off, 47% now
15. 59′We said Nacional at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 14–42–44
16. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Sanjoanense
17. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Nacional win 40%)
18. 65′We said Nacional at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 13–48–39
19. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Nacional win: 67% at kick-off, 37% now
20. 70′We said Nacional at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 12–54–34
21. 74′We said Nacional at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 11–60–29
22. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Nacional win: 67% at kick-off, 27% now
23. 78′We said Nacional at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 9–67–24
24. 81′We said Nacional at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 7–74–19
25. 81′We said Nacional at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 1–0 · 81–17–2
26. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Sanjoanense 1–0 Nacional
27. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Nacional win: 67% at kick-off, 2% now
28. 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Sanjoanense win is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Draw 17%)
29. 82′Sanjoanense find the net on 82′. 1–0. 1–0 · 83–15–2
30. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Sanjoanense
31. 94′1–0 at the end. Our 67% on Nacional misses, and the record keeps it. 1–0 · 100–0–0
32. FTFULL TIME Sanjoanense 1–0 Nacional
33. FTSanjoanense 1–0 Nacional · Nacional win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.