Recreativa de Lamelas v Vitória SC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Vitória SC win at 79%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Vitória SC was 79% before kick-off and our model makes it 79% now. 0–0 · 6–15–79
3. 1′KICK-OFF Recreativa de Lamelas v Vitória SC
4. 5′🟨 YELLOW · 5' Recreativa de Lamelas
5. 17′SUBSTITUTION · 16' Vitória SC · On: T. Strata · Off: F. Dias
6. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Vitória SC win: 79% at kick-off, 69% now
7. 34′We said Vitória SC at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 67%. 0–0 · 7–25–67
8. 40′We said Vitória SC at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 64%. 0–0 · 8–28–64
9. 45′HALF-TIME Recreativa de Lamelas 0–0 Vitória SC
10. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Vitória SC
11. 46′SECOND HALF Recreativa de Lamelas 0–0 Vitória SC
12. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Recreativa de Lamelas
13. 48′We said Vitória SC at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 8–33–59
14. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+3' Vitória SC win: 79% at kick-off, 59% now
15. 51′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Vitória SC · On: G. Nogueira · Off: S. Verdi
16. 51′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Vitória SC · On: M. Mitrovic · Off: B. Mukendi
17. 55′We said Vitória SC at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 8–39–54
18. 55′We expected about 2.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 8–39–54
19. 60′We said Vitória SC at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 7–43–49
20. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Vitória SC win: 79% at kick-off, 49% now
21. 65′We said Vitória SC at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 7–49–44
22. 65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Vitória SC win 44%)
23. 69′We said Vitória SC at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 7–54–39
24. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Vitória SC win: 79% at kick-off, 39% now
25. 73′We said Vitória SC at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 6–60–34
26. 76′We said Vitória SC at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 5–65–29
27. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Vitória SC win: 79% at kick-off, 29% now
28. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Recreativa de Lamelas 0–1 Vitória SC
29. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Vitória SC win: 79% at kick-off, 95% now
30. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Vitória SC win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 5%)
31. 79′Vitória SC score on 78′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 0–4–95
32. 79′We published Vitória SC at 79%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–4–95
33. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Vitória SC · On: O. Camara · Off: T. Arcanjo
34. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Vitória SC · On: Y. Mosquera · Off: A. Sidibe
35. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Vitória SC
36. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Recreativa de Lamelas · On: J. Dinis · Off: R. Cardoso
37. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Recreativa de Lamelas · On: F. Silvestre · Off: M. Santos
38. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Recreativa de Lamelas · On: D. Pereira · Off: S. Camara
39. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Recreativa de Lamelas · On: R. Fonseca · Off: J. Pinto
40. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Recreativa de Lamelas · On: L. Almeida · Off: E. Lopes
41. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Vitória SC
42. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Vitória SC win: 79% at kick-off, 99% now
43. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' Vitória SC
44. FTFULL TIME Recreativa de Lamelas 0–1 Vitória SC
45. FTRecreativa de Lamelas 0–1 Vitória SC · Vitória SC win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.