Penafiel v Leça

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Penafiel win at 56%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Penafiel 56% before kick-off, 55% now. 0–0 · 55–23–22
3. 1′KICK-OFF Penafiel v Leça
4. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Penafiel
5. 39′We said Penafiel at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–27–54
6. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Penafiel 0–1 Leça
7. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Penafiel win: 56% at kick-off, 19% now
8. 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Leça win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Penafiel win 19%)
9. 40′A goal for Leça on 39′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 19–27–54
10. 40′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 0–1 · 19–27–54
11. 45′SECOND HALF Penafiel 0–1 Leça
12. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Penafiel win: 56% at kick-off, 16% now
13. 47′HALF-TIME Penafiel 0–1 Leça
14. 50′We said Penafiel at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–27–59
15. 85′We said Penafiel at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 0–1 · 1–10–90
16. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Penafiel
17. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Penafiel win: 56% at kick-off, 1% now
18. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Penafiel
19. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Leça
20. 97′0–1 at the end. Our 56% on Penafiel misses, and the record keeps it. 0–1 · 0–0–100
21. FTFULL TIME Penafiel 0–1 Leça
22. FTPenafiel 0–1 Leça · Penafiel win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.