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Fátima v Academico Viseu
Fátima
Academico ViseuTaça de Portugal · SUN 18 OCT · Estadio Papa Francisco
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Academico Viseu win at 71%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Academico Viseu 71% before kick-off, 71% now. 0–0 · 10–19–71
- 1′KICK-OFF Fátima v Academico Viseu
- 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Academico Viseu win: 71% at kick-off, 61% now
- 35′We said Academico Viseu at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 11–30–59
- 45′We said Academico Viseu at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 11–35–54
- 45′HALF-TIME Fátima 0–0 Academico Viseu
- 45′SECOND HALF Fátima 0–0 Academico Viseu
- 47′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Fátima
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Academico Viseu win: 71% at kick-off, 51% now
- 52′We said Academico Viseu at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 11–40–49
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.7 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 10–42–47
- 59′We said Academico Viseu at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 10–46–44
- 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Academico Viseu win 42%)
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Academico Viseu win: 71% at kick-off, 41% now
- 65′We said Academico Viseu at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 9–52–39
- 69′We said Academico Viseu at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 9–57–34
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Academico Viseu win: 71% at kick-off, 31% now
- 74′We said Academico Viseu at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 7–64–28
- 77′We said Academico Viseu at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 6–70–24
- 77′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Academico Viseu
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Academico Viseu win: 71% at kick-off, 21% now
- 80′We said Academico Viseu at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 5–75–19
- 82′We said Academico Viseu at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 1–0 · 84–15–1
- 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Fátima 1–0 Academico Viseu
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Academico Viseu win: 71% at kick-off, 1% now
- 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Fátima win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 15%)
- 83′A goal for Fátima on 83′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 86–13–1
- 90′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes Fátima likeliest at 57%. 1–0 · 57–30–13
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Academico Viseu
- 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Academico Viseu
- 95′1–0 at the end. Our 71% on Academico Viseu misses, and the record keeps it. 1–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Fátima 1–0 Academico Viseu
- FTFátima 1–0 Academico Viseu · Academico Viseu win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Academico Viseu are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Fátima 10%, draw 19%, Academico Viseu 71%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 41%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Fátima win10%
Academico Viseu win71%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 15:00
RoundRound of 64
VenueEstadio Papa Francisco
Match timeline
All events
FátimaMIN
Academico ViseuEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Fátima
Academico Viseu
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Fátima
Academico Viseu
Last match: 11 Oct · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
Last match: 10 Oct · Primeira Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Fátima
Formation not confirmed
24 E. Tetteh
2 F. Moura
4 J. Santos
5 B. Beato
6 Alex Silva
11 D. Goncalves
16 Rodri
17 R. Omrani
20 T. Silva
13 D. Conceicao
10 Quim Ze
Coach · –
Substitutes
9 · L. J. Oliveira
12 · P. Abreu
23 · J. Escoval
– · M. Marques
19 · T. Silva
25 · D. Ferreira
8 · D. Morgado
22 · M. Montez
18 · M. Soares Santos
Academico Viseu
Formation not confirmed
1 M. Lavin
21 T. Domingos
44 R. Pereira
5 Pedro Barcelos
57 Gu Costa
6 A. Ceitil
45 A. Mestanza
18 C. Ferreira
22 N. Mortimer
77 Paulinho
10 A. Zamora
Coach · Bruno Pinheiro
Substitutes
58 · Matheus Sampaio
2 · N. Michelis
23 · H. Gambor
7 · L. Silva
8 · C. Kahraman
29 · A. Babic
33 · Andre Clovis
31 · Joao Guilherme
17 · Valery
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Fátima
Formation not confirmed
24 E. Tetteh
2 F. Moura
4 J. Santos
5 B. Beato
6 Alex Silva
11 D. Goncalves
16 Rodri
17 R. Omrani
20 T. Silva
13 D. Conceicao
10 Quim Ze
Coach · –
Substitutes
9 · L. J. Oliveira
12 · P. Abreu
23 · J. Escoval
– · M. Marques
19 · T. Silva
25 · D. Ferreira
8 · D. Morgado
22 · M. Montez
18 · M. Soares Santos
Academico Viseu
Formation not confirmed
1 M. Lavin
21 T. Domingos
44 R. Pereira
5 Pedro Barcelos
57 Gu Costa
6 A. Ceitil
45 A. Mestanza
18 C. Ferreira
22 N. Mortimer
77 Paulinho
10 A. Zamora
Coach · Bruno Pinheiro
Substitutes
58 · Matheus Sampaio
2 · N. Michelis
23 · H. Gambor
7 · L. Silva
8 · C. Kahraman
29 · A. Babic
33 · Andre Clovis
31 · Joao Guilherme
17 · Valery
We make Academico Viseu a 71% chance to win. The market has them at 67%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.6–2.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 70%, 71% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 67% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fátima win | 10% | 12% | −2 |
| Draw | 19% | 20% | −1 |
| Academico Viseu win | 71% | 67% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 54% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 41% | 47% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 76% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 32% | −3 |
| Fátima or draw | 29% | 33% | −4 |
| Fátima clean sheet | 12% | – | – |
| Academico Viseu clean sheet | 54% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Taça de Portugal this season · since 29 Aug
FÁTIMA
ACADEMICO VISEU
No matches in our record yet.