Alpendorada v Casa Pia

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Casa Pia win at 57%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Casa Pia 57% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 17–26–57
3. 1′KICK-OFF Alpendorada v Casa Pia
4. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Casa Pia win: 57% at kick-off, 47% now
5. 39′We said Casa Pia at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 45%. 0–0 · 17–38–45
6. 41′We said Casa Pia at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 16–39–44
7. 45′HALF-TIME Alpendorada 0–0 Casa Pia
8. 46′SECOND HALF Alpendorada 0–0 Casa Pia
9. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Casa Pia win 40%)
10. 51′We said Casa Pia at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 15–45–39
11. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Casa Pia win: 57% at kick-off, 37% now
12. 60′We said Casa Pia at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 14–52–34
13. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Casa Pia
14. 66′We said Casa Pia at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 12–58–29
15. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Casa Pia
16. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Casa Pia win: 57% at kick-off, 27% now
17. 72′We said Casa Pia at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 10–66–24
18. 72′We said Casa Pia at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–10–90
19. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Alpendorada 0–1 Casa Pia
20. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Casa Pia win: 57% at kick-off, 90% now
21. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Casa Pia win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 10%)
22. 73′Casa Pia find the net on 72′. 0–1. 0–1 · 1–9–90
23. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Alpendorada
24. 83′We said Casa Pia at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
25. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Casa Pia win: 57% at kick-off, 97% now
26. FTFULL TIME Alpendorada 0–1 Casa Pia
27. FTAlpendorada 0–1 Casa Pia · Casa Pia win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.