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Alcochetense v Maritimo
Alcochetense
MaritimoTaça de Portugal · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Maritimo win at 69%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Maritimo 69% before kick-off, 68% now. 0–0 · 11–20–68
- 1′KICK-OFF Alcochetense v Maritimo
- 23′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Maritimo
- 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Maritimo win: 69% at kick-off, 59% now
- 34′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Maritimo
- 35′We said Maritimo at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 57%. 0–0 · 12–31–57
- 41′We said Maritimo at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 12–34–54
- 45′SECOND HALF Alcochetense 0–0 Maritimo
- 46′HALF-TIME Alcochetense 0–0 Maritimo
- 50′We said Maritimo at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 12–39–49
- 50′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Maritimo
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Maritimo win: 69% at kick-off, 49% now
- 52′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Maritimo · On: R. Correia · Off: R. Fernandes
- 54′We said Maritimo at 69% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 0–1 · 1–10–88
- 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Alcochetense 0–1 Maritimo
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Maritimo win: 69% at kick-off, 88% now
- 55′Maritimo score on 55′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 1–10–88
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.7 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 12–43–46 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Maritimo win: 69% at kick-off, 89% now
- 62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Alcochetense
- 63′We said Maritimo at 69% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 0–2 · 0–1–99
- 63′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 0–2 · 0–1–99
- 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Alcochetense 0–2 Maritimo
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Maritimo win: 69% at kick-off, 99% now
- 64′Maritimo find the net on 64′. 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–99
- 65′We said Maritimo at 69% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–2 · 1–9–90
- 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Alcochetense 1–2 Maritimo
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Maritimo win: 69% at kick-off, 90% now
- 66′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 1–9–90
- 66′A goal for Alcochetense on 66′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 1–9–90
- 78′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Maritimo
- 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Maritimo
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Maritimo · On: M. Bassouamina · Off: Simo
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Maritimo · On: A. Butzke · Off: M. Boakye
- 85′J. Precatado scores for Alcochetense on 64′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–3–96
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Maritimo · On: T. Tavares · Off: M. Dominguez
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Maritimo
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Maritimo win: 69% at kick-off, 99% now
- 99′1–2 at the end. Our 69% on Maritimo comes in. 1–2 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Alcochetense 1–2 Maritimo
- FTAlcochetense 1–2 Maritimo · Maritimo win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Maritimo are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Alcochetense 11%, draw 20%, Maritimo 69%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 43%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Alcochetense win11%
Maritimo win69%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 15:00
RoundRound of 64
Match timeline
All events
AlcochetenseMIN
MaritimoEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Alcochetense
Maritimo
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Alcochetense
Maritimo
Last match: 11 Oct · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D
Last match: 10 Oct · Primeira Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Alcochetense
Formation not confirmed
99 L. Ribeiro
5 T. Palancha
6 R. Pinto
14 Y. Missael
15 F. Celestino
19 G. Pinto
20 S. Harramiz
45 Valdumar
57 J. Precatado
77 D. Lopes
88 M. Abreu
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · Guilherme Christino
7 · L. Tipote
8 · J. Lino
10 · D. Ferreira
12 · M. Amaro
18 · D. Vilhete
23 · R. Pinto
66 · D. Freire
80 · R. Moreno
22 · O. Parkes
Maritimo
Formation not confirmed
1 G. Tabuaco
2 Igor Juliao
4 R. Fernandes
6 R. Andrade
8 M. Dominguez
10 M. Tejon
11 S. Bouzaidi
22 G. Szalai
23 P. Henrique
66 I. Ayuma
90 M. Boakye
Coach · Mitchell van der Gaag
Substitutes
13 · A. Pastor
5 · Nilton
12 · M. Bassouamina
15 · T. Tavares
17 · A. Butzke
21 · I. Alani
27 · S. Bamba
35 · B. Limbombe
44 · R. Correia
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Alcochetense
Formation not confirmed
99 L. Ribeiro
5 T. Palancha
6 R. Pinto
14 Y. Missael
15 F. Celestino
19 G. Pinto
20 S. Harramiz
45 Valdumar
57 J. Precatado
77 D. Lopes
88 M. Abreu
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · Guilherme Christino
7 · L. Tipote
8 · J. Lino
10 · D. Ferreira
12 · M. Amaro
18 · D. Vilhete
23 · R. Pinto
66 · D. Freire
80 · R. Moreno
22 · O. Parkes
Maritimo
Formation not confirmed
1 G. Tabuaco
2 Igor Juliao
4 R. Fernandes
6 R. Andrade
8 M. Dominguez
10 M. Tejon
11 S. Bouzaidi
22 G. Szalai
23 P. Henrique
66 I. Ayuma
90 M. Boakye
Coach · Mitchell van der Gaag
Substitutes
13 · A. Pastor
5 · Nilton
12 · M. Bassouamina
15 · T. Tavares
17 · A. Butzke
21 · I. Alani
27 · S. Bamba
35 · B. Limbombe
44 · R. Correia
We make Maritimo a 69% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–2.0, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 67%, 69% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alcochetense win | 11% | – | – |
| Draw | 20% | – | – |
| Maritimo win | 69% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 43% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | – | – |
| Alcochetense or draw | 31% | – | – |
| Alcochetense clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
| Maritimo clean sheet | 51% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2025/26No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Taça de Portugal this season · since 6 Sept
ALCOCHETENSE
MARITIMO
No matches in our record yet.