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Model 1.2

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FC Porto v Academico Viseu

FC Porto
20:30Upcoming
Academico Viseu

Taça da Liga · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

FC PortoDrawAcademico Viseu
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:30
Before kick-off · Match result · FC Porto 76%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC Porto are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FC Porto 76%, draw 17%, Academico Viseu 7%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 38%.

The AI’s read on FC Porto v Academico ViseuBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

FC Porto win76%
Draw17%
Academico Viseu win7%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 20:30

RoundQuarter-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FC Porto

Academico Viseu

4Days since last match10

Last match: 24 Oct · Primeira Liga

Last match: 18 Oct · Taça de Portugal

3Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc porto winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
76% The market–
Us76%

We make FC Porto a 76% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–0.6, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · FC Porto v Academico Viseu2.25 – 0.55

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
70%75%80% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 03:22
Our probability · FC Porto win

Published at 75%, 76% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
FC Porto win76%––
Draw17%––
Academico Viseu win7%––
Over 2.5 goals53%––
Both teams to score38%––
Over 1.5 goals77%––
Over 3.5 goals31%––
FC Porto or draw93%––
FC Porto clean sheet58%––
Academico Viseu clean sheet11%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 15.4%
0123450 6.3 3.1 1 13.4 7.8 2.1 2 15.4 8.5 2.3 3 11.5 6.4 4 6.5 3.6 5 2.9
under 2% 5% 12%+FC Porto down, Academico Viseu across0–5 goals a side shown (97.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.33
Over 2.52 of 3
Both scored0 of 3
Last meetingsACA 0–3 FCP · ACA 0–1 FCP · FCP 3–0 ACA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Taça da Liga this season

FC PORTO

No matches in our record yet.

ACADEMICO VISEU

No matches in our record yet.