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Feirense v Benfica B
Feirense
Benfica BSegunda Liga · SAT 24 OCT · Estádio Marcolino de Castro
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Benfica B win at 38%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Benfica B 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 35–27–38
- 1′KICK-OFF Feirense v Benfica B
- 28′A goal for Feirense on 27′. 0–0 · 32–34–34
- 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Benfica B win 35%)
- 40′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Rui silva · Benfica B
- 45′HALF-TIME Feirense 0–0 Benfica B
- 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45+5' Feirense
- 45′SECOND HALF Feirense 0–0 Benfica B
- 47′Jair Monteiro scores for Feirense on 44′. 0–0 · 28–43–30
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Benfica B win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.4 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 28–42–30
- 56′We said Benfica B at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 26%. 0–0 · 25–49–26
- 61′We said Benfica B at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 23–53–24
- 62′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Francisco Silva · Benfica B
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Benfica B · On: Peter Edokpolor · Off: Olivio Tomé
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Benfica B · On: Martim Ferreira · Off: Rui silva
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Benfica B · On: Stevan Pedro Dores Manuel · Off: Francisco Silva
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Feirense · On: Pedro Henrique de Oliveira da Silva · Off: Henrique Pereira
- 68′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Luís Teixeira Pinto · Feirense
- 70′We said Benfica B at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 18–63–19
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Benfica B win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
- 77′We said Benfica B at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 13–73–14
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Feirense · On: Adriel Moraes · Off: Guilherme Meira Ferreira Alves
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Feirense · On: Mohamed Diaby · Off: Diogo Mendes
- 83′We said Benfica B at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 8–83–8
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Benfica B win: 38% at kick-off, 8% now
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Benfica B · On: Felipe de Almeida Lima · Off: Bernardes
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Feirense · On: Tiago Castro · Off: Pedro Pinto
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Feirense · On: Alexandre Guedes · Off: Luís Teixeira Pinto
- 90′We said Benfica B at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
- 94′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Benfica B · On: Tomás Soares · Off: Nuno Miguel Madeira Fernandes Felix
- 94′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Feirense
- FTFULL TIME Feirense 0–0 Benfica B
- FTFeirense 0–0 Benfica B · Benfica B win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Benfica B just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Feirense 35%, draw 27%, Benfica B 38%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 49%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Feirense win35%
Benfica B win38%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 8
VenueEstádio Marcolino de Castro
RefereeDavid Rafael Oliveira da Silva
Match timeline
All events
FeirenseMIN
Benfica BEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Feirense
3-4-3
Benfica B
4-3-3
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Feirense
Benfica B
Last match: 11 Oct · Segunda Liga
Last match: 12 Oct · Segunda Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Feirense
3-4-3
26 Diego Altube
14 Pedro Pinto
4 Antonio Leal
40 João Queirós
20 João Oliveira
77 Gui Meira
6 Diogo Mendes
16 André Lopes
25 Henrique Pereira
9 J. Monteiro
90 Luisinho
Coach · Rui Ferreira
Substitutes
80 · Adriel
30 · Peter Adejimi
24 · M. Diaby
8 · Gui Santos
15 · Diego Moreno
1 · Francisco Meixedo
47 · Piri
3 · Kaiquy
23 · Pedro Henrique
27 · Tiago Castro
5 · Osasumwen Bolaji Aigbe
19 · Alexandre Guedes
Benfica B
4-3-3
51 A. Voitinovičius
78 D. Soares
55 João Carvalho Fonseca
94 Rui Silva
52 João Capucho
76 R. Quintas
60 Nuno Félix
91 Francisco Silva
77 Gonçalo Carvalho Moreira
74 O. Tome
54 Francisco Neto
Coach · Nelson Veríssimo
Substitutes
87 · Peter Edokpolor
75 · L. Martins
85 · Martim Maria Ferreira
81 · Stevan Manuel
53 · Tiago Rodrigues
56 · Felipe Lima
79 · T. Soares
80 · G. Sobral
63 · Guilherme gaspar
93 · diego coelho
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Feirense
3-4-3
26 Diego Altube
14 Pedro Pinto
4 Antonio Leal
40 João Queirós
20 João Oliveira
77 Gui Meira
6 Diogo Mendes
16 André Lopes
25 Henrique Pereira
9 J. Monteiro
90 Luisinho
Coach · Rui Ferreira
Substitutes
80 · Adriel
30 · Peter Adejimi
24 · M. Diaby
8 · Gui Santos
15 · Diego Moreno
1 · Francisco Meixedo
47 · Piri
3 · Kaiquy
23 · Pedro Henrique
27 · Tiago Castro
5 · Osasumwen Bolaji Aigbe
19 · Alexandre Guedes
Benfica B
4-3-3
51 A. Voitinovičius
78 D. Soares
55 João Carvalho Fonseca
94 Rui Silva
52 João Capucho
76 R. Quintas
60 Nuno Félix
91 Francisco Silva
77 Gonçalo Carvalho Moreira
74 O. Tome
54 Francisco Neto
Coach · Nelson Veríssimo
Substitutes
87 · Peter Edokpolor
75 · L. Martins
85 · Martim Maria Ferreira
81 · Stevan Manuel
53 · Tiago Rodrigues
56 · Felipe Lima
79 · T. Soares
80 · G. Sobral
63 · Guilherme gaspar
93 · diego coelho
We make Benfica B a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feirense win | 35% | 36% | −1 |
| Draw | 27% | 29% | −2 |
| Benfica B win | 38% | 35% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 48% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 53% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 71% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 28% | −5 |
| Feirense or draw | 62% | 65% | −3 |
| Feirense clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
| Benfica B clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Segunda Liga this season · since 14 Aug
FEIRENSE
BENFICA B
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 7 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 7 | +4 | 15 |
| 3 | Farense | 7 | +7 | 14 |
| 4 | Penafiel | 7 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | Benfica B | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Academica | 7 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Tondela | 7 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Vizela | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | União de Leiria | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 | Leixoes | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 7 | −1 | 10 |
| 12 | AVS | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 | Chaves | 8 | −7 | 8 |
| 14 | FC Porto B | 7 | −8 | 7 |
| 15 | Felgueiras 1932 | 7 | −2 | 6 |
| 16 | Torreense | 7 | −3 | 6 |
| 17 | Amarante | 7 | −4 | 5 |
| 18 | Feirense | 7 | −8 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Lusitânia Lourosa
Sporting CP B
Farense
Penafiel
Academica
Tondela
Vizela
União de Leiria
Leixoes
Portimonense
AVS
Chaves
FC Porto B
Felgueiras 1932
Torreense
Amarante