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FC Porto B v União de Leiria
FC Porto BUnião de LeiriaSegunda Liga · SUN 25 OCT · Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
União de Leiria are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: FC Porto B 35%, draw 25%, União de Leiria 40%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
FC Porto B win35%União de Leiria win40%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:30
RoundMatchday 8
VenueEstadio Luis Filipe Menezes
RefereeLuis Carlos Mateus Filipe
Match timeline
All events
FC Porto BMINUnião de LeiriaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
FC Porto B
União de Leiria
Last match: 10 Oct · Segunda Liga
Last match: 17 Oct · Taça de Portugal
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | União de Leiria | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Porto B | 7 | −8 | 7 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make União de Leiria a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 48% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto B win | 35% | 25% | +10 |
| Draw | 25% | 27% | −2 |
| União de Leiria win | 40% | 48% | −8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 49% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 54% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 73% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 29% | +1 |
| FC Porto B or draw | 60% | 52% | +8 |
| FC Porto B clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
| União de Leiria clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Segunda Liga this season · since 15 Aug
FC PORTO B
UNIÃO DE LEIRIA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sporting CP B | 8 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Lusitânia Lourosa | 7 | +7 | 17 |
| 3 |  Penafiel | 8 | +10 | 16 |
| 4 |  Academica | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Farense | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Benfica B | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 |  Tondela | 7 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Vizela | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | União de Leiria | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Leixoes | 8 | −3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Portimonense | 8 | −4 | 10 |
| 12 |  AVS | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 |  Chaves | 8 | −7 | 8 |
| 14 | FC Porto B | 7 | −8 | 7 |
| 15 |  Felgueiras 1932 | 7 | −2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Torreense | 7 | −3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Amarante | 7 | −4 | 5 |
| 18 |  Feirense | 8 | −8 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.