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Vizela U23 v Felgueiras U23
Vizela U23Felgueiras U23Liga Revelação U23 · MON 19 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Vizela U23 win at 40%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Vizela U23 was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 40–23–37
- 1′KICK-OFF Vizela U23 v Felgueiras U23
- 34′We said Vizela U23 at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–1 · 13–22–65
- 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Vizela U23 0–1 Felgueiras U23
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Vizela U23 win: 40% at kick-off, 13% now
- 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Felgueiras U23 win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Vizela U23 win 35%)
- 35′Felgueiras U23 find the net on 34′. 0–1. 0–1 · 13–22–65
- 36′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 0–1 · 13–22–65
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Vizela U23 win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
- 45′SECOND HALF Vizela U23 0–1 Felgueiras U23
- 46′HALF-TIME Vizela U23 0–1 Felgueiras U23
- 50′We said Vizela U23 at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–22–69
- 59′PENALTY MISSED · 59' Vizela U23
- 61′We said Vizela U23 at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 0–2 · 1–5–94
- 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Vizela U23 0–2 Felgueiras U23
- 62′A goal for Felgueiras U23 on 61′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 1–5–94
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Vizela U23 win: 40% at kick-off, under 1% now
- 95′Full time, 0–2. We called Vizela U23 at 40% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Vizela U23 0–2 Felgueiras U23
- FTVizela U23 0–2 Felgueiras U23 · Vizela U23 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Vizela U23 just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Vizela U23 40%, draw 23%, Felgueiras U23 37%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 60%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off
Vizela U23 win40%Felgueiras U23 win37%Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 9
Match timeline
All events
Vizela U23MINFelgueiras U23Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Vizela U23
Felgueiras U23
Last match: 13 Oct · Liga Revelação U23
Last match: 13 Oct · Liga Revelação U23
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vizela U23 | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Felgueiras U23 | 8 | +3 | 12 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Vizela U23 a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 39%, 40% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vizela U23 win | 40% | 35% | +5 |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | −2 |
| Felgueiras U23 win | 37% | 40% | −3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 59% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 62% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 79% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 38% | −2 |
| Vizela U23 or draw | 63% | 60% | +3 |
| Vizela U23 clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
| Felgueiras U23 clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga Revelação U23 this season · since 25 Aug
VIZELA U23
FELGUEIRAS U23
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sporting CP U23 | 9 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Academico Viseu U23 | 8 | +5 | 17 |
| 3 |  Estoril U23 | 8 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 |  Rio Ave U23 | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | Vizela U23 | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Felgueiras U23 | 8 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 |  Moreirense U23 | 8 | +8 | 11 |
| 8 |  Sporting Braga U23 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  União Leiria U23 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Famalicão U23 | 8 | −1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Farense U23 | 8 | −1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Benfica U23 | 8 | −1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Santa Clara U23 | 7 | −5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Leixões U23 | 8 | +2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Penafiel U23 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 |  Gil Vicente U23 | 9 | −4 | 8 |
| 17 |  Torreense U23 | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 18 |  Marítimo U23 | 8 | −5 | 6 |
| 19 |  Estrela U23 | 8 | −8 | 5 |
| 20 |  Portimonense U23 | 8 | −6 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.