Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1

Home › Football › Liga Revelação U23 › Portimonense U23 v Academico Viseu U23

Back
Portugal flag

Portimonense U23 v Academico Viseu U23

Portimonense U23
1–2Full time
Academico Viseu U23

Liga Revelação U23 · TUE 13 OCT · Estádio Municipal de Portimão

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 13:47
Portimonense U23 1–2 Academico Viseu U23 ACADEMICO VISEU U23 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Academico Viseu U23 win53%
The market said55%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.331
The market’s Brier score0.311

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Academico Viseu U23 win at 53%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Academico Viseu U23 was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 23–24–53
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Portimonense U23 v Academico Viseu U23
  4. 8′⚽ GOAL · 7' Portimonense U23 0–1 Academico Viseu U23
  5. 9′Academico Viseu U23 find the net on 7′. 0–1. 0–1 · 8–15–77
  6. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Academico Viseu U23 win: 53% at kick-off, 77% now
  7. 11′We published Academico Viseu U23 at 53%. Our model now makes it 77%. 0–1 · 8–15–77
  8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 6–16–78
  9. 33′A goal for Portimonense U23 on 32′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 22–33–45
  10. 33′⚽ GOAL · 32' Portimonense U23 1–1 Academico Viseu U23
  11. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Academico Viseu U23 win: 53% at kick-off, 45% now
  12. 45′HALF-TIME Portimonense U23 1–1 Academico Viseu U23
  13. 46′SECOND HALF Portimonense U23 1–1 Academico Viseu U23
  14. 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Portimonense U23 1–2 Academico Viseu U23
  15. FTFULL TIME Portimonense U23 1–2 Academico Viseu U23
  16. FTPortimonense U23 1–2 Academico Viseu U23 · Academico Viseu U23 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get a pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 10:41 · locked at kick-off

Portimonense U23 win24%
Draw23%
Academico Viseu U23 win53%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 11:00

VenueEstádio Municipal de Portimão

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Portimonense U23

Academico Viseu U23

21Days since last match21
0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Academico Viseu U237+414
20Portimonense U237−54

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · academico viseu u23 winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 10:41 · locked at kick-off
53% The market55%
Us53%
Market55%

We make Academico Viseu U23 a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.0–1.7.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 9 OCT 06:2013 OCT 05:44
Our probability · academico viseu u23 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Portimonense U23 win24%22%+2
Draw23%24%−1
Academico Viseu U23 win53%55%−2
Over 2.5 goals51%56%−5
Both teams to score52%56%−4
Over 1.5 goals75%79%−4
Over 3.5 goals29%35%−6
Portimonense U23 or draw47%45%+2
Portimonense U23 clean sheet19%––
Academico Viseu U23 clean sheet36%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 11.5%
0123450 6.3 11.5 9.3 5.3 2.3 1 7.2 11.0 9.5 5.4 2.3 2 3.5 5.9 4.9 2.8 3 2.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Portimonense U23 down, Academico Viseu U23 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting2.25
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored1 of 4
Last meetingsACA 0–1 POR · POR 0–3 ACA · POR 1–2 ACA · ACA 2–0 POR

Form · last six in Liga Revelação U23

PORTIMONENSE U23

DLDLLD1–1 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 0–0

ACADEMICO VISEU U23

WWWLDD3–2 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Estoril U238+516
2Sporting CP U238+515
3Academico Viseu U237+414
4Rio Ave U237+312
5Felgueiras U237+311
6Farense U237011
7Vizela U236+210
8Benfica U237+110
9Sporting Braga U238010
10Santa Clara U235+29
11Moreirense U237+18
12Gil Vicente U237−18
13União Leiria U237−18
14Famalicão U237−28
15Leixões U23706
16Torreense U236−36
17Marítimo U238−56
18Penafiel U237−25
19Estrela U237−75
20Portimonense U237−54

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.