Home › Football › Liga Revelação U23 › Moreirense U23 v Santa Clara U23

Moreirense U23 v Santa Clara U23

Moreirense U23

7–0Full time

Santa Clara U23

Liga Revelação U23 · TUE 13 OCT

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 15:45

Moreirense U23 7–0 Santa Clara U23 MOREIRENSE U23 WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Moreirense U23 win~~43%

~~The market said~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.493

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.486

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 23 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Moreirense U23 win at 43%.
1′Much as we predicted: Moreirense U23 was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–26–32
1′KICK-OFF Moreirense U23 v Santa Clara U23
2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Moreirense U23 1–0 Santa Clara U23
3′A goal for Moreirense U23 on 2′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 69–19–13
3′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 3' Moreirense U23 win: 43% at kick-off, 69% now
5′We published Moreirense U23 at 43%. Our model now makes it 69%. 1–0 · 69–19–13
8′8′ and it is 2–0: Moreirense U23 have scored. 2–0 · 88–9–4
8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Moreirense U23 2–0 Santa Clara U23
8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Moreirense U23 win: 43% at kick-off, 88% now
9′We published Moreirense U23 at 43%. Our model now makes it 88%. 2–0 · 88–8–4
24′We published Moreirense U23 at 43%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–0 · 90–8–3
39′PENALTY MISSED · 39' Moreirense U23
39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Moreirense U23 3–0 Santa Clara U23
40′A goal for Moreirense U23 on 39′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 98–1–0
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Moreirense U23 win: 43% at kick-off, 98% now
45′HALF-TIME Moreirense U23 3–0 Santa Clara U23
46′SECOND HALF Moreirense U23 3–0 Santa Clara U23
50′⚽ GOAL · 49' Moreirense U23 4–0 Santa Clara U23
54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Moreirense U23 5–0 Santa Clara U23
60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Moreirense U23 6–0 Santa Clara U23
63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Moreirense U23 7–0 Santa Clara U23
79′⚽ GOAL · 2' Moreirense U23 7–0 Santa Clara U23
79′⚽ GOAL · 8' Moreirense U23 7–0 Santa Clara U23
79′PENALTY MISSED · 39' Moreirense U23
79′⚽ GOAL · 39' Moreirense U23 7–0 Santa Clara U23
79′⚽ GOAL · 49' Moreirense U23 7–0 Santa Clara U23
79′⚽ GOAL · 54' Moreirense U23 7–0 Santa Clara U23
79′⚽ GOAL · 60' Moreirense U23 7–0 Santa Clara U23
79′⚽ GOAL · 63' Moreirense U23 7–0 Santa Clara U23
FTFULL TIME Moreirense U23 7–0 Santa Clara U23
FTMoreirense U23 7–0 Santa Clara U23 · Moreirense U23 win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

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Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 12:31 · locked at kick-off

Moreirense U23 win43%

Draw25%

Santa Clara U23 win32%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 13:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Moreirense U23

Santa Clara U23

7Days since last match7

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Santa Clara U23	5	+2	9
11	Moreirense U23	7	+1	8

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · moreirense u23 winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 12:31 · locked at kick-off

43% The market43%

Us43%

~~Market~~43%

We make Moreirense U23 a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are within 0 points of the market. The model expects 1.4–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · moreirense u23 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Moreirense U23 win	43%	43%	0
Draw	25%	27%	−2
Santa Clara U23 win	32%	30%	+2
Over 2.5 goals	49%	52%	−3
Both teams to score	52%	56%	−4
Over 1.5 goals	73%	75%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	27%	31%	−4
Moreirense U23 or draw	68%	70%	−2
Moreirense U23 clean sheet	30%	–	–
Santa Clara U23 clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%

0123450 7.0 9.1 5.2 2.1 1 10.8 11.8 7.3 2.9 2 7.4 8.7 5.2 2.1 3 3.5 4.2 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Moreirense U23 down, Santa Clara U23 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,144 Liga Revelação U23 matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga Revelação U23 matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.4% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Moreirense U23 at home: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 3). Santa Clara U23 away: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.43 goals for Moreirense U23, 1.20 for Santa Clara U23. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in Liga Revelação U23 since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in Liga Revelação U23

MOREIRENSE U23

LDWDDD1–2 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–1

SANTA CLARA U23

WWWDDD3–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Estoril U23	8	+5	16
2	Sporting CP U23	8	+5	15
3	Academico Viseu U23	7	+4	14
4	Rio Ave U23	7	+3	12
5	Felgueiras U23	7	+3	11
6	Farense U23	7	0	11
7	Vizela U23	6	+2	10
8	Benfica U23	7	+1	10
9	Sporting Braga U23	8	0	10
10	Santa Clara U23	5	+2	9
11	Moreirense U23	7	+1	8
12	Gil Vicente U23	7	−1	8
13	União Leiria U23	7	−1	8
14	Famalicão U23	7	−2	8
15	Leixões U23	7	0	6
16	Torreense U23	6	−3	6
17	Marítimo U23	8	−5	6
18	Penafiel U23	7	−2	5
19	Estrela U23	7	−7	5
20	Portimonense U23	7	−5	4