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Marítimo U23 v Famalicão U23
Marítimo U23
Famalicão U23Liga Revelação U23 · TUE 20 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Famalicão U23 win at 56%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Famalicão U23 was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 22–21–56
- 1′KICK-OFF Marítimo U23 v Famalicão U23
- 9′We published Famalicão U23 at 56%. Our model now makes it 78%. 0–1 · 8–14–78
- 9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Marítimo U23 0–1 Famalicão U23
- 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Famalicão U23 win: 56% at kick-off, 78% now
- 11′Famalicão U23 score on 10′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 8–14–78
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 0–1 · 7–15–78
- 45′SECOND HALF Marítimo U23 0–1 Famalicão U23
- 46′HALF-TIME Marítimo U23 0–1 Famalicão U23
- 50′We published Famalicão U23 at 56%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 5–16–80
- 57′🟥 RED CARD · 57' Famalicão U23
- 58′A red card for Famalicão U23 on 58′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–1 · 4–16–81
- 71′We published Famalicão U23 at 56%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 2–13–85
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Famalicão U23 win: 56% at kick-off, 86% now
- 79′We published Famalicão U23 at 56%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–10–90
- 87′We published Famalicão U23 at 56%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Famalicão U23 win: 56% at kick-off, 96% now
- 96′Full time, 0–1. We called Famalicão U23 at 56% — that one lands. 0–1 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Marítimo U23 0–1 Famalicão U23
- FTMarítimo U23 0–1 Famalicão U23 · Famalicão U23 win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Famalicão U23 are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Marítimo U23 22%, draw 21%, Famalicão U23 56%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Marítimo U23 win22%
Famalicão U23 win56%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 9
Match timeline
All events
Marítimo U23MIN
Famalicão U23Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Marítimo U23
Famalicão U23
Last match: 12 Oct · Liga Revelação U23
Last match: 13 Oct · Liga Revelação U23
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Famalicão U23 a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–2.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marítimo U23 win | 22% | 23% | −1 |
| Draw | 21% | 24% | −3 |
| Famalicão U23 win | 56% | 53% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 59% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 59% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 80% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 39% | −1 |
| Marítimo U23 or draw | 44% | 47% | −3 |
| Marítimo U23 clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
| Famalicão U23 clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga Revelação U23 this season · since 25 Aug
MARÍTIMO U23
FAMALICÃO U23
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP U23 | 9 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 | Estoril U23 | 9 | +5 | 17 |
| 3 | Academico Viseu U23 | 8 | +5 | 17 |
| 4 | Felgueiras U23 | 9 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 | Rio Ave U23 | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Vizela U23 | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 | Moreirense U23 | 9 | +8 | 12 |
| 8 | Sporting Braga U23 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | União Leiria U23 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Famalicão U23 | 8 | −1 | 11 |
| 11 | Benfica U23 | 9 | −1 | 11 |
| 12 | Farense U23 | 8 | −1 | 11 |
| 13 | Leixões U23 | 9 | +2 | 10 |
| 14 | Santa Clara U23 | 7 | −5 | 10 |
| 15 | Penafiel U23 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Gil Vicente U23 | 9 | −4 | 8 |
| 17 | Torreense U23 | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 18 | Marítimo U23 | 8 | −5 | 6 |
| 19 | Estrela U23 | 8 | −8 | 5 |
| 20 | Portimonense U23 | 8 | −6 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Sporting CP U23
Estoril U23
Academico Viseu U23
Felgueiras U23
Rio Ave U23
Vizela U23
Moreirense U23
Sporting Braga U23
União Leiria U23
Benfica U23
Farense U23
Leixões U23
Santa Clara U23
Penafiel U23
Gil Vicente U23
Torreense U23
Estrela U23
Portimonense U23