Leixões U23 v Estoril U23

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Leixões U23 win at 43%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Leixões U23 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–23–34
3. 1′KICK-OFF Leixões U23 v Estoril U23
4. 12′A goal for Estoril U23 on 12′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 20–22–58
5. 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Leixões U23 0–1 Estoril U23
6. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Leixões U23 win: 43% at kick-off, 20% now
7. 12′THE CALL SWINGS · 12' Estoril U23 win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Leixões U23 win 42%)
8. 13′We said Leixões U23 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 0–1 · 20–22–58
9. 16′We said Leixões U23 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–22–59
10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 0–1 · 16–23–61
11. 37′We said Leixões U23 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–62
12. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Leixões U23 win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
13. 45′HALF-TIME Leixões U23 0–1 Estoril U23
14. 46′SECOND HALF Leixões U23 0–1 Estoril U23
15. 54′We said Leixões U23 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–67
16. 63′Leixões U23 score on 63′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 28–48–24
17. 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Leixões U23 1–1 Estoril U23
18. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Leixões U23 win: 43% at kick-off, 28% now
19. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Estoril U23 win 71%)
20. 64′We said Leixões U23 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 1–1 · 28–49–23
21. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Leixões U23 win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
22. 72′Leixões U23 find the net on 72′. 2–1. 2–1 · 81–16–3
23. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Leixões U23 2–1 Estoril U23
24. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Leixões U23 win: 43% at kick-off, 81% now
25. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Leixões U23 win is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Draw 59%)
26. 73′We said Leixões U23 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 2–1 · 82–16–2
27. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Leixões U23 win: 43% at kick-off, 83% now
28. 77′We said Leixões U23 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
29. 78′A goal for Estoril U23 on 78′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 17–69–15
30. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Leixões U23 2–2 Estoril U23
31. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Leixões U23 win: 43% at kick-off, 17% now
32. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Draw is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Leixões U23 win 85%)
33. 79′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 16–70–14
34. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Leixões U23 win: 43% at kick-off, 12% now
35. 91′We said Leixões U23 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–92–4
36. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Leixões U23 win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
37. FTFULL TIME Leixões U23 2–2 Estoril U23
38. FTLeixões U23 2–2 Estoril U23 · Leixões U23 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.