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Gil Vicente U23 v Vizela U23

Gil Vicente U23
1–2Full time
Vizela U23

Liga Revelação U23 · TUE 13 OCT

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 17:57
Gil Vicente U23 1–2 Vizela U23 GIL VICENTE U23 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Gil Vicente U23 win50%
The market said41%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.819
The market’s Brier score0.689

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 13 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Gil Vicente U23 win at 50%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Gil Vicente U23 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–23–27
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Gil Vicente U23 v Vizela U23
  4. 45′Gil Vicente U23 find the net on 45′. 1–0. 1–0 · 75–18–7
  5. 45′A goal for Vizela U23 on 45′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 40–35–25
  6. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Gil Vicente U23 win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
  7. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Gil Vicente U23 1–0 Vizela U23
  8. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Gil Vicente U23 win: 50% at kick-off, 75% now
  9. 45′⚽ GOAL · 48' Gil Vicente U23 1–1 Vizela U23
  10. 45′HALF-TIME Gil Vicente U23 1–1 Vizela U23
  11. 46′SECOND HALF Gil Vicente U23 1–1 Vizela U23
  12. 48′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 1–1 · 39–37–24
  13. 50′We said Gil Vicente U23 at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 38–38–24
  14. 54′53′ and it is 1–2: Vizela U23 have scored. 1–2 · 11–25–64
  15. 54′⚽ GOAL · 53' Gil Vicente U23 1–2 Vizela U23
  16. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Gil Vicente U23 win: 50% at kick-off, 11% now
  17. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Vizela U23 win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Gil Vicente U23 win 11%)
  18. 56′We said Gil Vicente U23 at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 1–2 · 10–25–65
  19. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Gil Vicente U23 win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
  20. 60′We said Gil Vicente U23 at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–24–67
  21. 72′We said Gil Vicente U23 at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–20–75
  22. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Gil Vicente U23 win: 50% at kick-off, 0% now
  23. FTFULL TIME Gil Vicente U23 1–2 Vizela U23
  24. FTGil Vicente U23 1–2 Vizela U23 · Gil Vicente U23 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –
2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –
3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –
The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 14:44 · locked at kick-off

Gil Vicente U23 win50%
Draw22%
Vizela U23 win28%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 15:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Gil Vicente U23

Vizela U23

22Days since last match15
0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Vizela U236+210
12Gil Vicente U237−18

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gil vicente u23 winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 14:44 · locked at kick-off
50% The market41%
Us50%
Market41%

We make Gil Vicente U23 a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50%55% 9 OCT 06:2013 OCT 13:59
Our probability · gil vicente u23 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Gil Vicente U23 win50%41%+10
Draw22%27%−5
Vizela U23 win28%33%−5
Over 2.5 goals60%54%+6
Both teams to score60%59%+2
Over 1.5 goals81%76%+5
Over 3.5 goals38%34%+5
Gil Vicente U23 or draw72%67%+5
Gil Vicente U23 clean sheet27%––
Vizela U23 clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%
0123450 4.2 6.1 3.8 1 8.4 10.0 6.7 2.9 2 7.3 9.3 6.1 2.6 3 4.4 5.7 3.7 4 2.1 2.6 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Gil Vicente U23 down, Vizela U23 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

14 meetings since 2022
Goals a meeting3.43
Over 2.510 of 14
Both scored9 of 14
Last meetingsGIL 3–1 VIZ · VIZ 2–1 GIL · VIZ 2–1 GIL · GIL 1–0 VIZ

Form · last six in Liga Revelação U23

GIL VICENTE U23

LLLDWW2–3 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 1–0

VIZELA U23

LLWWWD0–1 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Estoril U238+516
2Sporting CP U238+515
3Academico Viseu U237+414
4Rio Ave U237+312
5Felgueiras U237+311
6Farense U237011
7Vizela U236+210
8Benfica U237+110
9Sporting Braga U238010
10Santa Clara U235+29
11Moreirense U237+18
12Gil Vicente U237−18
13União Leiria U237−18
14Famalicão U237−28
15Leixões U23706
16Torreense U236−36
17Marítimo U238−56
18Penafiel U237−25
19Estrela U237−75
20Portimonense U237−54

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.