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Farense U23 v União Leiria U23
Farense U23União Leiria U23Liga Revelação U23 · TUE 13 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Farense U23 win at 47%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Farense U23 47% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–26–28
- 1′KICK-OFF Farense U23 v União Leiria U23
- 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Farense U23 0–1 União Leiria U23
- 25′A goal for União Leiria U23 on 24′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 17–25–58
- 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Farense U23 win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
- 26′THE CALL SWINGS · 26' União Leiria U23 win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Farense U23 win 17%)
- 27′We said Farense U23 at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 0–1 · 17–25–59
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 16–25–59
- 36′We said Farense U23 at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–61
- 45′HALF-TIME Farense U23 0–1 União Leiria U23
- 46′SECOND HALF Farense U23 0–1 União Leiria U23
- 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Farense U23 0–2 União Leiria U23
- 51′50′ and it is 0–2: União Leiria U23 have scored. 0–2 · 2–8–91
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Farense U23 win: 47% at kick-off, 2% now
- 53′We said Farense U23 at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 0–2 · 2–7–91
- 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Farense U23 1–2 União Leiria U23
- 56′Farense U23 find the net on 55′. 1–2. 1–2 · 8–24–68
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Farense U23 win: 47% at kick-off, 8% now
- 58′We said Farense U23 at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 7%. 1–2 · 7–23–69
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Farense U23 win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
- 60′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 7–23–70
- 65′PENALTY MISSED · 65' União Leiria U23
- 66′A goal for União Leiria U23 on 65′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 5–21–74
- FTFULL TIME Farense U23 1–2 União Leiria U23
- FTFarense U23 1–2 União Leiria U23 · Farense U23 win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassOur analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.
What decides it
The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.
– –Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.
– –What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.
– –The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.
See the passesPre-match prediction
Published 13 Oct 14:44 · locked at kick-off
Farense U23 win47%União Leiria U23 win29%Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 15:00
Match timeline
All events
Farense U23MINUnião Leiria U23Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Farense U23
União Leiria U23
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Farense U23 | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | União Leiria U23 | 7 | −1 | 8 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Farense U23 a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.1.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Farense U23 win | 47% | 44% | +3 |
| Draw | 25% | 27% | −3 |
| União Leiria U23 win | 29% | 29% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 49% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 53% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 72% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 28% | −1 |
| Farense U23 or draw | 71% | 71% | 0 |
| Farense U23 clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
| União Leiria U23 clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2025Form · last six in Liga Revelação U23
FARENSE U23
UNIÃO LEIRIA U23
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estoril U23 | 8 | +5 | 16 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP U23 | 8 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Academico Viseu U23 | 7 | +4 | 14 |
| 4 |  Rio Ave U23 | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |  Felgueiras U23 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Farense U23 | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 |  Vizela U23 | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Benfica U23 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Sporting Braga U23 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Santa Clara U23 | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 |  Moreirense U23 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Gil Vicente U23 | 7 | −1 | 8 |
| 13 | União Leiria U23 | 7 | −1 | 8 |
| 14 |  Famalicão U23 | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 15 |  Leixões U23 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 |  Torreense U23 | 6 | −3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Marítimo U23 | 8 | −5 | 6 |
| 18 |  Penafiel U23 | 7 | −2 | 5 |
| 19 |  Estrela U23 | 7 | −7 | 5 |
| 20 |  Portimonense U23 | 7 | −5 | 4 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.