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Famalicão U23 v Estrela U23
Famalicão U23
Estrela U23Liga Revelação U23 · TUE 13 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Famalicão U23 win at 63%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Famalicão U23 63% before kick-off, 63% now. 0–0 · 63–20–17
- 1′KICK-OFF Famalicão U23 v Estrela U23
- 6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Famalicão U23 1–0 Estrela U23
- 7′A goal for Famalicão U23 on 6′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 83–12–6
- 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Famalicão U23 win: 63% at kick-off, 83% now
- 9′We said Famalicão U23 at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 1–0 · 83–12–6
- 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Famalicão U23 win: 63% at kick-off, 82% now
- 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Famalicão U23 2–0 Estrela U23
- 23′21′ and it is 2–0: Famalicão U23 have scored. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Famalicão U23 win: 63% at kick-off, 95% now
- 25′We said Famalicão U23 at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 45′HALF-TIME Famalicão U23 2–0 Estrela U23
- 46′SECOND HALF Famalicão U23 2–0 Estrela U23
- 49′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 2–0 · 97–3–0
- 81′We said Famalicão U23 at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 86′⚽ GOAL · 85' Famalicão U23 2–1 Estrela U23
- 87′Estrela U23 find the net on 85′. 2–1. 2–1 · 96–4–0
- FTFULL TIME Famalicão U23 2–1 Estrela U23
- FTFamalicão U23 2–1 Estrela U23 · Famalicão U23 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassOur analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.
What decides it
The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.
– –Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.
– –What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.
– –The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.
See the passesPre-match prediction
Published 13 Oct 14:44 · locked at kick-off
Famalicão U23 win63%
Estrela U23 win18%Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 15:00
Match timeline
All events
Famalicão U23MIN
Estrela U23Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Famalicão U23
Estrela U23
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Famalicão U23 a 63% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–1.0.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 52% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicão U23 win | 63% | 52% | +11 |
| Draw | 20% | 24% | −5 |
| Estrela U23 win | 18% | 24% | −6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 57% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 58% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 79% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 36% | +1 |
| Famalicão U23 or draw | 82% | 76% | +6 |
| Famalicão U23 clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
| Estrela U23 clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
7 meetings since 2022Form · last six in Liga Revelação U23
FAMALICÃO U23
ESTRELA U23
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estoril U23 | 8 | +5 | 16 |
| 2 | Sporting CP U23 | 8 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Academico Viseu U23 | 7 | +4 | 14 |
| 4 | Rio Ave U23 | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Felgueiras U23 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Farense U23 | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Vizela U23 | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Benfica U23 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Sporting Braga U23 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Santa Clara U23 | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 | Moreirense U23 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente U23 | 7 | −1 | 8 |
| 13 | União Leiria U23 | 7 | −1 | 8 |
| 14 | Famalicão U23 | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 15 | Leixões U23 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Torreense U23 | 6 | −3 | 6 |
| 17 | Marítimo U23 | 8 | −5 | 6 |
| 18 | Penafiel U23 | 7 | −2 | 5 |
| 19 | Estrela U23 | 7 | −7 | 5 |
| 20 | Portimonense U23 | 7 | −5 | 4 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Estoril U23
Sporting CP U23
Academico Viseu U23
Rio Ave U23
Felgueiras U23
Farense U23
Vizela U23
Benfica U23
Sporting Braga U23
Santa Clara U23
Moreirense U23
Gil Vicente U23
União Leiria U23
Leixões U23
Torreense U23
Marítimo U23
Penafiel U23
Portimonense U23