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Estoril U23 v Sporting CP U23

Estoril U23
1–0Full time
Sporting CP U23

Liga Revelação U23 · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 14:32
Estoril U23 1–0 Sporting CP U23 ESTORIL U23 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Estoril U23 win39%
The market said39%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.574
The market’s Brier score0.570

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Estoril U23 win39%
Draw24%
Sporting CP U23 win38%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 11:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · estoril u23 winPublished 9 Oct 14:02
39% The market39%
Us39%
Market39%

We make Estoril U23 a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are within 0 points of the market. The model expects 1.5–1.5.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 9 OCT 06:209 OCT 07:22
Our probability · estoril u23 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 40% to 39% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Estoril U23 win39%39%0
Draw24%27%−3
Sporting CP U23 win38%35%+3
Over 2.5 goals56%56%+1
Both teams to score59%59%−1
Over 1.5 goals79%78%+1
Over 3.5 goals34%35%0
Estoril U23 or draw62%65%−3
Estoril U23 clean sheet23%––
Sporting CP U23 clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.9%
0123450 5.0 8.0 5.6 2.8 1 8.2 10.9 8.2 4.0 2 5.8 8.3 6.1 3.0 3 2.9 4.2 3.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Estoril U23 down, Sporting CP U23 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

14 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting3.14
Over 2.58 of 14
Both scored9 of 14
Last meetingsSPO 3–2 EST · EST 0–5 SPO · EST 0–1 SPO · SPO 2–2 EST

Form · last six in Liga Revelação U23

ESTORIL U23

DWDWDW1–1 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 4–2 · 1–1 · 3–2

SPORTING CP U23

WWWWDD1–0 · 4–1 · 2–1 · 4–3 · 2–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Sporting CP U237+615
2Academico Viseu U237+414
3Estoril U237+413
4Rio Ave U237+312
5Felgueiras U237+311
6Farense U237011
7Sporting Braga U237+210
8Vizela U236+210
9Benfica U237+110
10Santa Clara U235+29
11Moreirense U237+18
12Gil Vicente U237−18
13União Leiria U237−18
14Famalicão U237−28
15Leixões U23706
16Torreense U236−36
17Penafiel U237−25
18Estrela U237−75
19Portimonense U237−54
20Marítimo U237−73

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-09 13:02 UTC.