Academico Viseu U23 v Penafiel U23

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Academico Viseu U23 win at 53%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Academico Viseu U23 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–23–24
3. 1′KICK-OFF Academico Viseu U23 v Penafiel U23
4. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Academico Viseu U23 win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
5. 45′We said Academico Viseu U23 at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 41%. 0–0 · 41–37–22
6. 45′SECOND HALF Academico Viseu U23 0–0 Penafiel U23
7. 46′HALF-TIME Academico Viseu U23 0–0 Penafiel U23
8. 50′We said Academico Viseu U23 at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–39–21
9. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Academico Viseu U23 win 39%)
10. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.9 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 37–43–20
11. 60′We said Academico Viseu U23 at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–47–19
12. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Academico Viseu U23 win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
13. 66′🟥 RED CARD · 66' Academico Viseu U23
14. 67′Academico Viseu U23 are down to ten from 67′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 29–54–17
15. 68′We said Academico Viseu U23 at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 28–55–16
16. 73′We said Academico Viseu U23 at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–62–14
17. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Academico Viseu U23 win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
18. 78′We said Academico Viseu U23 at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 18–70–11
19. 82′We said Academico Viseu U23 at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–79–8
20. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Academico Viseu U23 win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
21. 86′We said Academico Viseu U23 at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–86–5
22. 92′We said Academico Viseu U23 at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–94–2
23. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Academico Viseu U23 win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
24. FTFULL TIME Academico Viseu U23 0–0 Penafiel U23
25. FTAcademico Viseu U23 0–0 Penafiel U23 · Academico Viseu U23 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.