Vizela U19 v Moreirense U19

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Moreirense U19 win at 38%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Moreirense U19 was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 36–25–38
3. 1′KICK-OFF Vizela U19 v Moreirense U19
4. 13′A goal for Moreirense U19 on 12′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 15–20–65
5. 13′We published Moreirense U19 at 38%. Our model now makes it 65%. 0–1 · 15–20–65
6. 13′⚽ GOAL · 12' Vizela U19 0–1 Moreirense U19
7. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Moreirense U19 win: 38% at kick-off, 65% now
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 12–21–67
9. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Moreirense U19 win: 38% at kick-off, 68% now
10. 39′Vizela U19 score on 38′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 32–35–33
11. 39′⚽ GOAL · 38' Vizela U19 1–1 Moreirense U19
12. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Moreirense U19 win: 38% at kick-off, 33% now
13. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Moreirense U19 win 68%)
14. 45′HALF-TIME Vizela U19 1–1 Moreirense U19
15. 46′SECOND HALF Vizela U19 1–1 Moreirense U19
16. 49′Moreirense U19 find the net on 48′. 1–2. 1–2 · 8–21–71
17. 49′We published Moreirense U19 at 38%. Our model now makes it 71%. 1–2 · 8–21–71
18. 49′⚽ GOAL · 48' Vizela U19 1–2 Moreirense U19
19. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Moreirense U19 win: 38% at kick-off, 71% now
20. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Moreirense U19 win is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Draw 40%)
21. 50′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 8–21–71
22. 55′A goal for Vizela U19 on 54′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 27–44–29
23. 55′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 27–44–29
24. 55′⚽ GOAL · 54' Vizela U19 2–2 Moreirense U19
25. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Moreirense U19 win: 38% at kick-off, 29% now
26. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Moreirense U19 win 72%)
27. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Moreirense U19 win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
28. 60′We said Moreirense U19 at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 2–2 · 26–48–26
29. 65′We said Moreirense U19 at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 23–53–24
30. 73′We said Moreirense U19 at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 18–63–19
31. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Moreirense U19 win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
32. 79′We said Moreirense U19 at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 13–73–14
33. 84′We said Moreirense U19 at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 2–2 · 8–83–8
34. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Moreirense U19 win: 38% at kick-off, 8% now
35. 90′We said Moreirense U19 at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–91–4
36. FTFULL TIME Vizela U19 2–2 Moreirense U19
37. FTVizela U19 2–2 Moreirense U19 · Moreirense U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.