União Leiria U19 v Mafra U19

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said União Leiria U19 win at 52%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: União Leiria U19 was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–22–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF União Leiria U19 v Mafra U19
4. 8′Mafra U19 score on 8′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 28–22–49
5. 8′We said União Leiria U19 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 0–1 · 28–22–49
6. 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' União Leiria U19 0–1 Mafra U19
7. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 8' União Leiria U19 win: 52% at kick-off, 28% now
8. 8′THE CALL SWINGS · 8' Mafra U19 win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was União Leiria U19 win 51%)
9. 17′Mafra U19 find the net on 16′. 0–2. 0–2 · 11–15–74
10. 17′We said União Leiria U19 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 11%. 0–2 · 11–15–74
11. 17′⚽ GOAL · 16' União Leiria U19 0–2 Mafra U19
12. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' União Leiria U19 win: 52% at kick-off, 11% now
13. 25′We said União Leiria U19 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–2 · 9–14–76
14. 43′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 0–2 · 5–12–83
15. 45′HALF-TIME União Leiria U19 0–2 Mafra U19
16. 46′SECOND HALF União Leiria U19 0–2 Mafra U19
17. 47′We said União Leiria U19 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–84
18. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' União Leiria U19 win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
19. FTFULL TIME União Leiria U19 0–2 Mafra U19
20. FTUnião Leiria U19 0–3 Mafra U19 · União Leiria U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.