União Leiria U19 v Benfica U19 prediction · Júniores U19

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

União Leiria U19DrawBenfica U19

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Benfica U19 61%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Benfica U19 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: União Leiria U19 20%, draw 19%, Benfica U19 61%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on União Leiria U19 v Benfica U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

União Leiria U19 win20%

Draw19%

Benfica U19 win61%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

União Leiria U19

Benfica U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Júniores U19

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · benfica u19 winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

61% The market–

Us61%

We make Benfica U19 a 61% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–2.3, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · União Leiria U19 v Benfica U19~~1.24 – 2.32

~~Form · last six in Júniores U19 this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 6 v 18~~9 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
União Leiria U19 win	20%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Benfica U19 win	61%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
União Leiria U19 or draw	39%	–	–
União Leiria U19 clean sheet	10%	–	–
Benfica U19 clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.3%

0123450 3.1 6.7 7.7 5.9 3.4 1 3.6 8.3 9.3 7.1 4.2 2 2.3 5.1 5.7 4.4 2.6 3 2.1 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+União Leiria U19 down, Benfica U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (96.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,114 Júniores U19 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Júniores U19 matches have gone over 2.5 in 45.6% of games this season, across 90 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 4.40 goals a meeting; 4 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

União Leiria U19 at home: 2.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Benfica U19 away: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.24 goals for União Leiria U19, 2.32 for Benfica U19. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~4.40

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 5

~~Both scored~~3 of 5

~~Last meetings~~BEN 5–0 UNI · BEN 5–2 UNI · UNI 0–3 BEN · BEN 1–1 UNI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Júniores U19 this season · since 5 Sept

UNIÃO LEIRIA U19

LDLWLL1–2 · 2–2 · 1–3 · 2–0 · 1–3 · 0–3

BENFICA U19

WWDLWD2–1 · 5–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 4–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27 · Campeonato Nacional U19 · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Benfica U19	9	+13	18
2	Sporting CP U19	8	+4	17
3	Santa Clara U19	8	+8	14
4	Torreense U19	9	+2	14
5	Oriental U19	9	0	12
6	Casa Pia U19	9	+1	12
7	Mafra U19	9	−4	12
8	SC Farense U19	9	−6	8
9	União Leiria U19	9	−11	6
10	Alverca U19	9	−7	6