Sporting CP U19 v Santa Clara U19 prediction · Júniores U19

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sporting CP U19DrawSanta Clara U19

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Sporting CP U19 47%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sporting CP U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sporting CP U19 47%, draw 26%, Santa Clara U19 26%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Sporting CP U19 v Santa Clara U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Sporting CP U19 win47%

Draw26%

Santa Clara U19 win26%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sporting CP U19

Santa Clara U19

4Days since last match8

Last match: 21 Oct · UEFA Youth League

Last match: 17 Oct · Júniores U19

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Sporting CP U19	8	+4	17
3	Santa Clara U19	8	+8	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sporting cp u19 winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Sporting CP U19 a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sporting CP U19 v Santa Clara U19~~1.51 – 1.05

~~Form · last six in Júniores U19 this season · since 22 Aug~~W4 D1 L1 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 17 v 14~~2 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sporting CP U19 win	47%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Santa Clara U19 win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Sporting CP U19 or draw	74%	–	–
Sporting CP U19 clean sheet	35%	–	–
Santa Clara U19 clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.2%

0123450 8.1 8.1 4.3 1 11.6 12.2 6.4 2.3 2 8.7 9.0 4.7 3 4.4 4.6 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sporting CP U19 down, Santa Clara U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,114 Júniores U19 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Júniores U19 matches have gone over 2.5 in 45.6% of games this season, across 90 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sporting CP U19 at home: 2.00 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Santa Clara U19 away: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.51 goals for Sporting CP U19, 1.05 for Santa Clara U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~SPO 3–0 SAN · SAN 2–1 SPO · SPO 0–0 SAN · SAN 1–1 SPO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Júniores U19 this season · since 22 Aug

SPORTING CP U19

WWWWDL2–1 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 0–4

SANTA CLARA U19

WLDWWD7–0 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27 · Campeonato Nacional U19 · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Benfica U19	9	+13	18
2	Sporting CP U19	8	+4	17
3	Santa Clara U19	8	+8	14
4	Torreense U19	9	+2	14
5	Oriental U19	9	0	12
6	Casa Pia U19	9	+1	12
7	Mafra U19	9	−4	12
8	SC Farense U19	9	−6	8
9	União Leiria U19	9	−11	6
10	Alverca U19	9	−7	6