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Sporting Braga U19 v Famalicão U19

Sporting Braga U19
3–3Full time
Famalicão U19

Júniores U19 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08
Sporting Braga U19 3–3 Famalicão U19 SPORTING BRAGA U19 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Sporting Braga U19 win52%
The market said51%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.931
The market’s Brier score0.874

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay19 notes · 25 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sporting Braga U19 win at 52%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Sporting Braga U19 was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–23–25
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Sporting Braga U19 v Famalicão U19
  4. 25′A goal for Famalicão U19 on 25′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 23–25–53
  5. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Sporting Braga U19 0–1 Famalicão U19
  6. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Sporting Braga U19 win: 52% at kick-off, 23% now
  7. 25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Famalicão U19 win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Sporting Braga U19 win 47%)
  8. 26′We said Sporting Braga U19 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 0–1 · 22–25–53
  9. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Sporting Braga U19 win: 52% at kick-off, 22% now
  10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 0–1 · 21–25–54
  11. 34′We said Sporting Braga U19 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–26–55
  12. 44′Sporting Braga U19 score on 44′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 42–35–23
  13. 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Sporting Braga U19 1–1 Famalicão U19
  14. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Sporting Braga U19 win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
  15. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Sporting Braga U19 win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Famalicão U19 win 58%)
  16. 45′HALF-TIME Sporting Braga U19 1–1 Famalicão U19
  17. 46′SECOND HALF Sporting Braga U19 1–1 Famalicão U19
  18. 48′We said Sporting Braga U19 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 1–1 · 40–37–22
  19. 50′We said Sporting Braga U19 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–39–22
  20. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Sporting Braga U19 win 39%)
  21. 59′Sporting Braga U19 find the net on 58′. 2–1. 2–1 · 80–16–4
  22. 59′We published Sporting Braga U19 at 52%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–16–4
  23. 59′⚽ GOAL · 58' Sporting Braga U19 2–1 Famalicão U19
  24. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Sporting Braga U19 win: 52% at kick-off, 80% now
  25. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Sporting Braga U19 win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 44%)
  26. 63′A goal for Famalicão U19 on 63′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 32–49–19
  27. 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Sporting Braga U19 2–2 Famalicão U19
  28. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Sporting Braga U19 win: 52% at kick-off, 32% now
  29. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Sporting Braga U19 win 81%)
  30. 64′We said Sporting Braga U19 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 2–2 · 32–50–19
  31. 64′4 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 32–50–19
  32. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Sporting Braga U19 win: 52% at kick-off, 32% now
  33. 68′We said Sporting Braga U19 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–54–17
  34. 75′Famalicão U19 score on 75′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 3–19–78
  35. 75′We said Sporting Braga U19 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 2–3 · 3–19–78
  36. 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Sporting Braga U19 2–3 Famalicão U19
  37. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Sporting Braga U19 win: 52% at kick-off, 3% now
  38. 75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' Famalicão U19 win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 62%)
  39. 76′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 3–18–79
  40. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Sporting Braga U19 win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
  41. 93′Sporting Braga U19 find the net on 90′. 3–3. 3–3 · 3–95–2
  42. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Sporting Braga U19 3–3 Famalicão U19
  43. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Draw is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Famalicão U19 win 97%)
  44. 94′6 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 2–97–1
  45. FTFULL TIME Sporting Braga U19 3–3 Famalicão U19
  46. FTSporting Braga U19 3–3 Famalicão U19 · Sporting Braga U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sporting Braga U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sporting Braga U19 52%, draw 23%, Famalicão U19 25%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Sporting Braga U19 v Famalicão U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Sporting Braga U19 win52%
Draw23%
Famalicão U19 win25%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sporting Braga U19

Famalicão U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Júniores U19

Last match: 17 Oct · Júniores U19

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · Campeonato Nacional U19 · group 1

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Sporting Braga U198−110
8Famalicão U199−49

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sporting braga u19 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
52% The market51%
Us52%
Market51%

We make Sporting Braga U19 a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.8–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Sporting Braga U19 v Famalicão U191.84 – 1.20
Form · last six in Júniores U19 this season · since 29 AugW1 D1 L4 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 10 v 96 v 8
The market · Sporting Braga U19 win51% · ours 52%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 14:26
Our probability · Sporting Braga U19 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sporting Braga U19 win52%51%+1
Draw23%25%−2
Famalicão U19 win25%23%+2
Over 2.5 goals58%53%+5
Both teams to score58%54%+4
Over 1.5 goals80%75%+5
Over 3.5 goals36%32%+4
Sporting Braga U19 or draw75%77%−2
Sporting Braga U19 clean sheet31%––
Famalicão U19 clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.5%
0123450 5.0 5.7 3.5 1 8.8 10.5 6.2 2.5 2 8.1 9.5 5.7 2.3 3 5.0 5.9 3.5 4 2.3 2.7 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sporting Braga U19 down, Famalicão U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2023/24
Goals a meeting1.75
Over 2.52 of 8
Both scored2 of 8
Last meetingsSPO 1–2 FAM · FAM 1–0 SPO · FAM 3–0 SPO · SPO 1–1 FAM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Júniores U19 this season · since 29 Aug

SPORTING BRAGA U19

DLLWLL0–0 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 2–4 · 0–1

FAMALICÃO U19

LLDWLD0–1 · 0–4 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27 · Campeonato Nacional U19 · group 1
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Porto U198+1619
2Vitoria Guimaraes U199+216
3Rio Ave U198+314
4Feirense U198−111
5Gil Vicente U198−311
6Sporting Braga U198−110
7Academico Viseu U198+110
8Famalicão U199−49
9Moreirense U198−38
10Vizela U198−107

The competition's standings before kick-off.