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Home › Football › Júniores U19 › SC Farense U19 v União Leiria U19

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SC Farense U19 v União Leiria U19

SC Farense U19
3–1Full time
União Leiria U19

Júniores U19 · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10
SC Farense U19 3–1 União Leiria U19 UNIÃO LEIRIA U19 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said União Leiria U19 win41%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.652

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 15 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said União Leiria U19 win at 41%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: União Leiria U19 was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 35–24–41
  3. 1′KICK-OFF SC Farense U19 v União Leiria U19
  4. 4′Much as we predicted: União Leiria U19 was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 35–25–41
  5. 11′União Leiria U19 find the net on 11′. 0–1. 0–1 · 15–19–66
  6. 11′⚽ GOAL · 11' SC Farense U19 0–1 União Leiria U19
  7. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' União Leiria U19 win: 41% at kick-off, 66% now
  8. 12′We published União Leiria U19 at 41%. Our model now makes it 66%. 0–1 · 15–19–66
  9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 0–1 · 12–20–68
  10. 40′We published União Leiria U19 at 41%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 10–21–70
  11. 43′A goal for SC Farense U19 on 42′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 30–36–34
  12. 43′⚽ GOAL · 42' SC Farense U19 1–1 União Leiria U19
  13. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' União Leiria U19 win: 41% at kick-off, 34% now
  14. 45′HALF-TIME SC Farense U19 1–1 União Leiria U19
  15. 46′SECOND HALF SC Farense U19 1–1 União Leiria U19
  16. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was União Leiria U19 win 33%)
  17. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' União Leiria U19 win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
  18. 58′We said União Leiria U19 at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 26–45–29
  19. 59′SC Farense U19 score on 58′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 71–22–7
  20. 59′We said União Leiria U19 at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 2–1 · 71–22–7
  21. 59′That is 3, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 71–22–7
  22. 59′⚽ GOAL · 58' SC Farense U19 2–1 União Leiria U19
  23. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' União Leiria U19 win: 41% at kick-off, 7% now
  24. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' SC Farense U19 win is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Draw 22%)
  25. 68′We said União Leiria U19 at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 76–20–4
  26. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' União Leiria U19 win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
  27. 83′SC Farense U19 find the net on 82′. 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
  28. 83′4 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 99–1–0
  29. 83′⚽ GOAL · 82' SC Farense U19 3–1 União Leiria U19
  30. FTFULL TIME SC Farense U19 3–1 União Leiria U19
  31. FTSC Farense U19 3–1 União Leiria U19 · União Leiria U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

União Leiria U19 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: SC Farense U19 35%, draw 24%, União Leiria U19 41%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on SC Farense U19 v União Leiria U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

SC Farense U19 win35%
Draw24%
União Leiria U19 win41%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

SC Farense U19

União Leiria U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Júniores U19

Last match: 10 Oct · Júniores U19

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
8União Leiria U197−66
9SC Farense U197−84

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · união leiria u19 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
41% The market–
Us41%

We make União Leiria U19 a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · SC Farense U19 v União Leiria U191.42 – 1.57
Form · last six in Júniores U19 this season · since 15 AugW1 D0 L5 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 4 v 69 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
SC Farense U19 win35%––
Draw24%––
União Leiria U19 win41%––
Over 2.5 goals57%––
Both teams to score59%––
Over 1.5 goals79%––
Over 3.5 goals35%––
SC Farense U19 or draw59%––
SC Farense U19 clean sheet21%––
União Leiria U19 clean sheet25%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%
0123450 5.3 8.0 6.2 3.3 1 7.2 11.1 8.5 4.5 2 5.1 7.8 6.0 3.2 3 2.5 3.7 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+SC Farense U19 down, União Leiria U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Júniores U19 this season · since 15 Aug

SC FARENSE U19

WLLLLL3–2 · 1–2 · 1–5 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 2–4

UNIÃO LEIRIA U19

DLLDLW0–0 · 0–5 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 1–3 · 2–0

The table

2026/27 · group 2
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Sporting CP U197+817
2Benfica U197+914
3Santa Clara U197+813
4Oriental U197+111
5Torreense U197+110
6Mafra U197−69
7Casa Pia U19708
8União Leiria U197−66
9SC Farense U197−84
10Alverca U197−73

The competition's standings before kick-off.