Santa Clara U19 v Torreense U19 prediction · Júniores U19

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 14:49

Santa Clara U19 1–1 Torreense U19 SANTA CLARA U19 WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Santa Clara U19 win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.806

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 15 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Santa Clara U19 win at 46%.
1′Much as we predicted: Santa Clara U19 was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–28–26
1′KICK-OFF Santa Clara U19 v Torreense U19
23′Torreense U19 score on 23′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 17–25–58
23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Santa Clara U19 0–1 Torreense U19
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Santa Clara U19 win: 46% at kick-off, 17% now
23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Torreense U19 win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Santa Clara U19 win 17%)
24′We said Santa Clara U19 at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 0–1 · 16–25–58
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Santa Clara U19 win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
30′Santa Clara U19 find the net on 29′. 1–1. 1–1 · 40–36–24
30′⚽ GOAL · 29' Santa Clara U19 1–1 Torreense U19
30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Santa Clara U19 win: 46% at kick-off, 40% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Santa Clara U19 win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Torreense U19 win 23%)
45′HALF-TIME Santa Clara U19 1–1 Torreense U19
46′SECOND HALF Santa Clara U19 1–1 Torreense U19
47′We said Santa Clara U19 at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–44–22
58′We said Santa Clara U19 at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–52–19
63′Goals are coming at about the 2.3 we expected. 1–1 · 27–56–17
64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Santa Clara U19 win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
67′We said Santa Clara U19 at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–60–16
77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Santa Clara U19 win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
79′We said Santa Clara U19 at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–77–9
83′We said Santa Clara U19 at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–6
87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Santa Clara U19 win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
90′We said Santa Clara U19 at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
FTFULL TIME Santa Clara U19 1–1 Torreense U19
FTSanta Clara U19 1–1 Torreense U19 · Santa Clara U19 win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Santa Clara U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Santa Clara U19 46%, draw 28%, Torreense U19 26%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Santa Clara U19 v Torreense U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Santa Clara U19 win46%

Draw28%

Torreense U19 win26%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Santa Clara U19

Torreense U19

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Júniores U19

Last match: 10 Oct · Júniores U19

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Santa Clara U19	7	+8	13
5	Torreense U19	7	+1	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · santa clara u19 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 04:04 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Santa Clara U19 a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Santa Clara U19 v Torreense U19~~1.36 – 0.94

~~Form · last six in Júniores U19 this season · since 15 Aug~~W4 D1 L1 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 13 v 10~~3 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Santa Clara U19 win

Published at 45%, 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Santa Clara U19 win	46%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Torreense U19 win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	40%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
Santa Clara U19 or draw	74%	–	–
Santa Clara U19 clean sheet	39%	–	–
Torreense U19 clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.6%

0123450 10.3 9.5 4.5 1 13.6 12.6 5.9 2 9.2 8.5 4.0 3 4.2 3.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Santa Clara U19 down, Torreense U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,095 Júniores U19 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Júniores U19 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.3% of games this season, across 71 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Santa Clara U19 at home: 2.67 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Torreense U19 away: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.36 goals for Santa Clara U19, 0.94 for Torreense U19. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~TOR 0–1 SAN · SAN 4–1 TOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Júniores U19 this season · since 15 Aug

SANTA CLARA U19

WWLDWW2–1 · 7–0 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–0

TORREENSE U19

LLLWWW0–1 · 2–3 · 1–2 · 3–2 · 3–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27 · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sporting CP U19	7	+8	17
2	Benfica U19	7	+9	14
3	Santa Clara U19	7	+8	13
4	Oriental U19	7	+1	11
5	Torreense U19	7	+1	10
6	Mafra U19	7	−6	9
7	Casa Pia U19	7	0	8
8	União Leiria U19	7	−6	6
9	SC Farense U19	7	−8	4
10	Alverca U19	7	−7	3