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Home › Football › Júniores U19 › Oriental U19 v SC Farense U19

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Oriental U19 v SC Farense U19

Oriental U19
1–1Full time
SC Farense U19

Júniores U19 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08
Oriental U19 1–1 SC Farense U19 ORIENTAL U19 WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Oriental U19 win48%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.857

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 14 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Oriental U19 win at 48%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Oriental U19 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–26–27
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Oriental U19 v SC Farense U19
  4. 19′PENALTY MISSED · 19' SC Farense U19
  5. 28′SC Farense U19 score on 28′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 17–25–58
  6. 28′We said Oriental U19 at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 0–1 · 17–25–58
  7. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Oriental U19 0–1 SC Farense U19
  8. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Oriental U19 win: 48% at kick-off, 17% now
  9. 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' SC Farense U19 win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Oriental U19 win 42%)
  10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 17–25–58
  11. 37′Oriental U19 find the net on 37′. 1–1. 1–1 · 40–36–25
  12. 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Oriental U19 1–1 SC Farense U19
  13. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Oriental U19 win: 48% at kick-off, 40% now
  14. 45′HALF-TIME Oriental U19 1–1 SC Farense U19
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Oriental U19 1–1 SC Farense U19
  16. 48′We said Oriental U19 at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 1–1 · 36–41–23
  17. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was SC Farense U19 win 60%)
  18. 52′We said Oriental U19 at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–44–22
  19. 62′We said Oriental U19 at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–52–19
  20. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Oriental U19 win: 48% at kick-off, 28% now
  21. 69′We said Oriental U19 at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–59–16
  22. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Oriental U19 win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
  23. 80′We said Oriental U19 at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–76–10
  24. 84′We said Oriental U19 at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–6
  25. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Oriental U19 win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
  26. 91′We said Oriental U19 at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
  27. FTFULL TIME Oriental U19 1–1 SC Farense U19
  28. FTOriental U19 1–1 SC Farense U19 · Oriental U19 win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Oriental U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Oriental U19 48%, draw 25%, SC Farense U19 27%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Oriental U19 v SC Farense U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Oriental U19 win48%
Draw25%
SC Farense U19 win27%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Oriental U19

SC Farense U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Júniores U19

Last match: 17 Oct · Júniores U19

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · Campeonato Nacional U19 · group 2

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Oriental U198011
8SC Farense U198−67

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · oriental u19 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
48% The market–
Us48%

We make Oriental U19 a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Oriental U19 v SC Farense U191.55 – 1.09
Form · last six in Júniores U19 this season · since 22 AugW2 D1 L3 · W1 D0 L5
Table places · points 11 v 75 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Oriental U19 win48%––
Draw25%––
SC Farense U19 win27%––
Over 2.5 goals49%––
Both teams to score52%––
Over 1.5 goals74%––
Over 3.5 goals27%––
Oriental U19 or draw73%––
Oriental U19 clean sheet34%––
SC Farense U19 clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%
0123450 7.6 7.8 4.3 1 11.0 11.8 6.4 2.4 2 8.5 9.0 4.9 3 4.4 4.7 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Oriental U19 down, SC Farense U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Júniores U19 this season · since 22 Aug

ORIENTAL U19

LWDWLL1–2 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–2

SC FARENSE U19

LLLLLW1–2 · 1–5 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 2–4 · 3–1

The table

2026/27 · Campeonato Nacional U19 · group 2
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Benfica U198+1317
2Sporting CP U198+417
3Santa Clara U198+814
4Torreense U198+111
5Oriental U198011
6Casa Pia U198+111
7Mafra U198−79
8SC Farense U198−67
9União Leiria U198−86
10Alverca U198−66

The competition's standings before kick-off.