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Gil Vicente U19 v Rio Ave U19

Gil Vicente U19
3–1Full time
Rio Ave U19

Júniores U19 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08
Gil Vicente U19 3–1 Rio Ave U19 GIL VICENTE U19 WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Gil Vicente U19 win39%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.551

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 15 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Gil Vicente U19 win at 39%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Gil Vicente U19 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–28–33
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Gil Vicente U19 v Rio Ave U19
  4. 2′A goal for Gil Vicente U19 on 2′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 67–20–14
  5. 2′We said Gil Vicente U19 at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 67%. 1–0 · 67–20–14
  6. 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Gil Vicente U19 1–0 Rio Ave U19
  7. 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Gil Vicente U19 win: 39% at kick-off, 67% now
  8. 7′Gil Vicente U19 score on 7′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 87–9–4
  9. 7′We said Gil Vicente U19 at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 2–0 · 87–9–4
  10. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Gil Vicente U19 2–0 Rio Ave U19
  11. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Gil Vicente U19 win: 39% at kick-off, 87% now
  12. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Gil Vicente U19 win: 39% at kick-off, 89% now
  13. 24′We said Gil Vicente U19 at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–0 · 90–8–3
  14. 32′Rio Ave U19 find the net on 31′. 2–1. 2–1 · 70–21–9
  15. 32′We said Gil Vicente U19 at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 2–1 · 70–21–9
  16. 32′⚽ GOAL · 31' Gil Vicente U19 2–1 Rio Ave U19
  17. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Gil Vicente U19 win: 39% at kick-off, 70% now
  18. 33′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 70–21–9
  19. 45′HALF-TIME Gil Vicente U19 2–1 Rio Ave U19
  20. 46′SECOND HALF Gil Vicente U19 2–1 Rio Ave U19
  21. 52′We said Gil Vicente U19 at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 2–1 · 75–20–6
  22. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Gil Vicente U19 win: 39% at kick-off, 79% now
  23. 65′We said Gil Vicente U19 at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
  24. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Gil Vicente U19 win: 39% at kick-off, 89% now
  25. 87′We said Gil Vicente U19 at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
  26. 87′A goal for Gil Vicente U19 on 86′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  27. 87′⚽ GOAL · 86' Gil Vicente U19 3–1 Rio Ave U19
  28. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Gil Vicente U19 win: 39% at kick-off, over 99% now
  29. 88′We said Gil Vicente U19 at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  30. 88′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  31. FTFULL TIME Gil Vicente U19 3–1 Rio Ave U19
  32. FTGil Vicente U19 3–1 Rio Ave U19 · Gil Vicente U19 win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Gil Vicente U19 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Gil Vicente U19 39%, draw 27%, Rio Ave U19 33%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Gil Vicente U19 v Rio Ave U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Gil Vicente U19 win39%
Draw27%
Rio Ave U19 win33%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Gil Vicente U19

Rio Ave U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Júniores U19

Last match: 17 Oct · Júniores U19

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · Campeonato Nacional U19 · group 1

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Rio Ave U198+314
5Gil Vicente U198−311

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gil vicente u19 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
39% The market–
Us39%

We make Gil Vicente U19 a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Gil Vicente U19 v Rio Ave U191.29 – 1.16
Form · last six in Júniores U19 this season · since 23 AugW1 D2 L3 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 11 v 145 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Gil Vicente U19 win39%––
Draw27%––
Rio Ave U19 win33%––
Over 2.5 goals44%––
Both teams to score49%––
Over 1.5 goals70%––
Over 3.5 goals23%––
Gil Vicente U19 or draw67%––
Gil Vicente U19 clean sheet32%––
Rio Ave U19 clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.8%
0123450 8.9 10.0 5.8 2.3 1 11.1 12.8 7.4 2.9 2 7.2 8.2 4.7 3 3.1 3.6 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Gil Vicente U19 down, Rio Ave U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.70
Over 2.57 of 10
Both scored7 of 10
Last meetingsGIL 1–2 RIO · RIO 2–1 GIL · RIO 3–0 GIL · GIL 2–1 RIO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Júniores U19 this season · since 23 Aug

GIL VICENTE U19

DLWDLL0–0 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 0–5

RIO AVE U19

WLWDWW1–0 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27 · Campeonato Nacional U19 · group 1
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Porto U198+1619
2Vitoria Guimaraes U199+216
3Rio Ave U198+314
4Feirense U198−111
5Gil Vicente U198−311
6Sporting Braga U198−110
7Academico Viseu U198+110
8Famalicão U199−49
9Moreirense U198−38
10Vizela U198−107

The competition's standings before kick-off.