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Feirense U19 v Vizela U19

Feirense U19

0–1Full time

Vizela U19

Júniores U19 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Feirense U19 0–1 Vizela U19 FEIRENSE U19 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Feirense U19 win~~55%

~~The market said~~63%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.956

~~The market’s Brier score~~1.159

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 4 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Feirense U19 win at 55%.
11′Much as we predicted: Feirense U19 was 55% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 54–24–22
45′HALF-TIME Feirense U19 0–0 Vizela U19
47′SECOND HALF Feirense U19 0–0 Vizela U19
74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Feirense U19 0–1 Vizela U19
FTFULL TIME Feirense U19 0–1 Vizela U19
FTFeirense U19 0–1 Vizela U19 · Feirense U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Feirense U19 win55%

Draw22%

Vizela U19 win23%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · feirense u19 winPublished 10 Oct 15:19

55% The market63%

Us55%

~~Market~~63%

We make Feirense U19 a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 63%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · feirense u19 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 63% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Feirense U19 win	55%	63%	−8
Draw	22%	21%	+1
Vizela U19 win	23%	15%	+7
Over 2.5 goals	60%	56%	+4
Both teams to score	58%	52%	+6
Over 1.5 goals	81%	78%	+3
Over 3.5 goals	38%	35%	+3
Feirense U19 or draw	77%	85%	−7
Feirense U19 clean sheet	32%	–	–
Vizela U19 clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.1%

0123450 4.8 5.1 3.1 1 8.6 10.1 5.8 2.3 2 8.4 9.5 5.5 2.2 3 5.5 6.2 3.6 4 2.7 3.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Feirense U19 down, Vizela U19 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,085 Júniores U19 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Júniores U19 matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.3% of games this season, across 61 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Feirense U19 at home: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Vizela U19 away: 0.83 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.96 goals for Feirense U19, 1.16 for Vizela U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2023

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Júniores U19

FEIRENSE U19

LWLWWD0–1 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–1

VIZELA U19

LLLWLL0–1 · 0–1 · 2–5 · 3–1 · 0–2 · 1–7

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sporting CP U19	6	+8	16
2	Benfica U19	6	+11	14
3	Porto U19	6	+9	13
4	Gil Vicente U19	6	+3	11
5	Oriental U19	6	+2	11
6	Santa Clara U19	6	+6	10
7	Sporting Braga U19	6	+2	10
8	Feirense U19	6	0	10
9	Vitoria Guimaraes U19	7	−2	10
10	Rio Ave U19	6	+1	8
11	Famalicão U19	7	−3	8
12	Mafra U19	6	−6	8
13	Academico Viseu U19	6	+3	7
14	Torreense U19	6	0	7
15	Moreirense U19	6	−2	7
16	Casa Pia U19	6	−2	5
17	SC Farense U19	6	−6	4
18	Alverca U19	6	−5	3
19	União Leiria U19	6	−8	3
20	Vizela U19	6	−11	3