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Home › Football › Júniores U19 › Feirense U19 v Vitoria Guimaraes U19

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Feirense U19 v Vitoria Guimaraes U19

Feirense U19
0–1Full time
Vitoria Guimaraes U19

Júniores U19 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08
Feirense U19 0–1 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 FEIRENSE U19 WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Feirense U19 win39%
The market said29%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.663
The market’s Brier score0.478

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 8 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Feirense U19 win at 39%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Feirense U19 was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 39–28–34
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Feirense U19 v Vitoria Guimaraes U19
  4. 3′Vitoria Guimaraes U19 find the net on 3′. 0–1. 0–1 · 17–22–62
  5. 3′We said Feirense U19 at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 0–1 · 17–22–62
  6. 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Feirense U19 0–1 Vitoria Guimaraes U19
  7. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Feirense U19 win: 39% at kick-off, 17% now
  8. 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Vitoria Guimaraes U19 win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Feirense U19 win 38%)
  9. 16′We said Feirense U19 at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–22–63
  10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 12–23–66
  11. 41′We said Feirense U19 at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–22–68
  12. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Feirense U19 win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
  13. 45′HALF-TIME Feirense U19 0–1 Vitoria Guimaraes U19
  14. 46′SECOND HALF Feirense U19 0–1 Vitoria Guimaraes U19
  15. 62′We said Feirense U19 at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
  16. FTFULL TIME Feirense U19 0–1 Vitoria Guimaraes U19
  17. FTFeirense U19 0–1 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 · Feirense U19 win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Feirense U19 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Feirense U19 39%, draw 28%, Vitoria Guimaraes U19 34%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Feirense U19 v Vitoria Guimaraes U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Feirense U19 win39%
Draw28%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 win34%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Feirense U19

Vitoria Guimaraes U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Júniores U19

Last match: 17 Oct · Júniores U19

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · Campeonato Nacional U19 · group 1

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Vitoria Guimaraes U199+216
4Feirense U198−111

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · feirense u19 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
39% The market29%
Us39%
Market29%

We make Feirense U19 a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 29%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Feirense U19 v Vitoria Guimaraes U191.26 – 1.16
Form · last six in Júniores U19 this season · since 22 AugW2 D2 L2 · W3 D0 L3
Table places · points 11 v 164 v 2
The market · Feirense U19 win29% · ours 39%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
25%30%35%40% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 14:26
Our probability · Feirense U19 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 29% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Feirense U19 win39%29%+10
Draw28%28%0
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 win34%44%−10
Over 2.5 goals44%49%−5
Both teams to score49%54%−5
Over 1.5 goals69%72%−3
Over 3.5 goals23%28%−5
Feirense U19 or draw66%56%+10
Feirense U19 clean sheet32%––
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 clean sheet29%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.8%
0123450 9.2 10.3 6.0 2.4 1 11.1 12.8 7.4 2.9 2 7.0 8.0 4.6 3 3.0 3.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Feirense U19 down, Vitoria Guimaraes U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024/25
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsFEI 2–2 VIT · VIT 2–0 FEI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Júniores U19 this season · since 22 Aug

FEIRENSE U19

LWWDLD0–2 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–1

VITORIA GUIMARAES U19

WLLLWW1–0 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 4–1

The table

2026/27 · Campeonato Nacional U19 · group 1
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Porto U198+1619
2Vitoria Guimaraes U199+216
3Rio Ave U198+314
4Feirense U198−111
5Gil Vicente U198−311
6Sporting Braga U198−110
7Academico Viseu U198+110
8Famalicão U199−49
9Moreirense U198−38
10Vizela U198−107

The competition's standings before kick-off.