Casa Pia U19 v Sporting CP U19 prediction · Júniores U19

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Casa Pia U19DrawSporting CP U19

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Sporting CP U19 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sporting CP U19 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Casa Pia U19 29%, draw 27%, Sporting CP U19 44%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Casa Pia U19 v Sporting CP U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Casa Pia U19 win29%

Draw27%

Sporting CP U19 win44%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Casa Pia U19

Sporting CP U19

7Days since last match10

Last match: 24 Oct · Júniores U19

Last match: 21 Oct · UEFA Youth League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Sporting CP U19	8	+4	17
6	Casa Pia U19	9	+1	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sporting cp u19 winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Sporting CP U19 a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Casa Pia U19 v Sporting CP U19~~1.04 – 1.37

~~Form · last six in Júniores U19 this season · since 22 Aug~~W2 D2 L2 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 12 v 17~~6 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Casa Pia U19 win	29%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Sporting CP U19 win	44%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	23%	–	–
Casa Pia U19 or draw	56%	–	–
Casa Pia U19 clean sheet	26%	–	–
Sporting CP U19 clean sheet	36%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%

0123450 9.3 12.1 8.4 3.9 1 9.2 12.7 8.5 3.9 2 4.9 6.6 4.4 2.0 3 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Casa Pia U19 down, Sporting CP U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,114 Júniores U19 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Júniores U19 matches have gone over 2.5 in 45.6% of games this season, across 90 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 2.40 goals a meeting; 1 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Casa Pia U19 at home: 2.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Sporting CP U19 away: 1.83 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.04 goals for Casa Pia U19, 1.37 for Sporting CP U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~2.40

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 5

~~Both scored~~2 of 5

~~Last meetings~~SPO 2–0 CAS · SPO 1–1 CAS · CAS 1–0 SPO · SPO 4–1 CAS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Júniores U19 this season · since 22 Aug

CASA PIA U19

LLDWWD0–1 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 4–2 · 1–0 · 0–0

SPORTING CP U19

WWWWDL2–1 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 0–4

The table

2026/27 · Campeonato Nacional U19 · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Benfica U19	9	+13	18
2	Sporting CP U19	8	+4	17
3	Santa Clara U19	8	+8	14
4	Torreense U19	9	+2	14
5	Oriental U19	9	0	12
6	Casa Pia U19	9	+1	12
7	Mafra U19	9	−4	12
8	SC Farense U19	9	−6	8
9	União Leiria U19	9	−11	6
10	Alverca U19	9	−7	6