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Lajense v Portel

Lajense
2–1Full time
Portel

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 18:02
Lajense 2–1 Portel LAJENSE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Lajense win45%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.459

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Lajense are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Lajense 45%, draw 26%, Portel 30%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Lajense v PortelBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Lajense win45%
Draw26%
Portel win30%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 15:00

RoundGroup D · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lajense

Portel

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D

Last match: 11 Oct · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
11Lajense5−14
13Portel5−34

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lajense winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
45% The market–
Us45%

We make Lajense a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Lajense v Portel1.55 – 1.21
Form · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D this season · since 16 AugW1 D1 L3 · W0 D4 L1
Table places · points 4 v 411 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Lajense win45%––
Draw26%––
Portel win30%––
Over 2.5 goals52%––
Both teams to score54%––
Over 1.5 goals76%––
Over 3.5 goals30%––
Lajense or draw70%––
Lajense clean sheet31%––
Portel clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%
0123450 7.2 7.4 4.7 1 9.6 11.9 6.9 2.8 2 7.6 8.7 5.2 2.2 3 4.0 4.6 2.7 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Lajense down, Portel across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D this season · since 16 Aug

LAJENSE

LDLWL0–1 · 5–5 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 0–1

PORTEL

DDDDL2–2 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Imortal Albufeira5+710
2Sintrense5+610
3FC Serpa5+49
4Juventude Évora5+28
5Amora5+28
6Real5+17
7Lagoa506
8Alcochetense5−15
9Vitoria Setubal5−35
101º Dezembro4−45
11Lajense5−14
12Santa Clara B4−14
13Portel5−34
14Aljustrelense5−92

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.