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Alcochetense v FC Serpa
AlcochetenseFC SerpaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · SUN 25 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Alcochetense are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Alcochetense 44%, draw 28%, FC Serpa 28%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 48%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Alcochetense win44%FC Serpa win28%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:00
RoundGroup D · matchday 6
Match timeline
All events
AlcochetenseMINFC SerpaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Alcochetense
FC Serpa
Last match: 18 Oct · Taça de Portugal
Last match: 11 Oct · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Serpa | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 9 | Alcochetense | 5 | −1 | 5 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Alcochetense a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alcochetense win | 44% | – | – |
| Draw | 28% | – | – |
| FC Serpa win | 28% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 48% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | – | – |
| Alcochetense or draw | 72% | – | – |
| Alcochetense clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
| FC Serpa clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2025/26Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D this season · since 16 Aug
ALCOCHETENSE
FC SERPA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Imortal Albufeira | 5 | +7 | 10 |
| 2 |  Sintrense | 5 | +6 | 10 |
| 3 |  Real | 6 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Serpa | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 |  Amora | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 6 |  Juventude Évora | 6 | −1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Lajense | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 |  Lagoa | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Alcochetense | 5 | −1 | 5 |
| 10 |  Santa Clara B | 5 | −1 | 5 |
| 11 |  Vitoria Setubal | 5 | −3 | 5 |
| 12 |  Portel | 7 | −4 | 5 |
| 13 |  1º Dezembro | 4 | −4 | 5 |
| 14 |  Aljustrelense | 5 | −9 | 2 |
Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.