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Oliveira Hospital v FC Alverca II

Oliveira Hospital

3–1Full time

FC Alverca II

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Oliveira Hospital 3–1 FC Alverca II OLIVEIRA HOSPITAL WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Oliveira Hospital win~~52%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.343

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 25 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Oliveira Hospital win at 52%.
3′Little has changed for our model: Oliveira Hospital 52% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–28–19
6′3′ and it is 1–0: Oliveira Hospital have scored. 1–0 · 81–14–5
17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Oliveira Hospital win: 52% at kick-off, 81% now
17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Oliveira Hospital win: 52% at kick-off, 53% now
18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Oliveira Hospital win: 52% at kick-off, 81% now
18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Oliveira Hospital win: 52% at kick-off, 53% now
19′A goal for Oliveira Hospital on 14′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Oliveira Hospital win: 52% at kick-off, 53% now
19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Oliveira Hospital win: 52% at kick-off, 81% now
19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Oliveira Hospital win: 52% at kick-off, 99% now
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Oliveira Hospital win: 52% at kick-off, 81% now
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Oliveira Hospital win: 52% at kick-off, 99% now
21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Oliveira Hospital win: 52% at kick-off, 81% now
21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Oliveira Hospital win: 52% at kick-off, 99% now
22′A goal for Oliveira Hospital on 14′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Oliveira Hospital win: 52% at kick-off, 81% now
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Oliveira Hospital win: 52% at kick-off, 99% now
37′We said Oliveira Hospital at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
39′We said Oliveira Hospital at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
45′HALF-TIME Oliveira Hospital 3–0 FC Alverca II
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Oliveira Hospital win: 52% at kick-off, 100% now
45′⚽ GOAL · 3' Oliveira Hospital 3–0 FC Alverca II
45′⚽ GOAL · 12' Oliveira Hospital 3–0 FC Alverca II
45′⚽ GOAL · 14' Oliveira Hospital 3–0 FC Alverca II
46′SECOND HALF Oliveira Hospital 3–0 FC Alverca II
60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Oliveira Hospital 3–1 FC Alverca II
90′⚽ GOAL · 3' Oliveira Hospital 3–1 FC Alverca II
90′⚽ GOAL · 12' Oliveira Hospital 3–1 FC Alverca II
90′⚽ GOAL · 14' Oliveira Hospital 3–1 FC Alverca II
90′⚽ GOAL · 60' Oliveira Hospital 3–1 FC Alverca II
FTFULL TIME Oliveira Hospital 3–1 FC Alverca II
FTOliveira Hospital 3–1 FC Alverca II · Oliveira Hospital win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Oliveira Hospital win52%

Draw28%

FC Alverca II win20%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 15:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Oliveira Hospital

FC Alverca II

28Days since last match14

0Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Oliveira Hospital	4	+2	9
11	FC Alverca II	4	+2	3

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · oliveira hospital winPublished 11 Oct 15:13

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Oliveira Hospital a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Oliveira Hospital win	52%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
FC Alverca II win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	37%	–	–
Both teams to score	39%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	63%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	18%	–	–
Oliveira Hospital or draw	80%	–	–
Oliveira Hospital clean sheet	48%	–	–
FC Alverca II clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.1%

0123450 12.6 8.5 3.3 1 16.1 11.8 4.3 2 11.3 8.0 3.0 3 5.5 3.9 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Oliveira Hospital down, FC Alverca II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 836 Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C matches have gone over 2.5 in 38.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Oliveira Hospital at home: 2.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). FC Alverca II away: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.42 goals for Oliveira Hospital, 0.74 for FC Alverca II. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C

OLIVEIRA HOSPITAL

WWLWWW2–1 · 3–0 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 1–0

FC ALVERCA II

DWLLLW0–0 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 5–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mortágua	4	+5	10
2	O Elvas	4	+4	10
3	Os Marialvas	4	+6	9
4	Oliveira Hospital	4	+2	9
5	UD da Serra	4	+2	8
6	Naval 1893	4	+2	6
7	AD Nogueirense	4	+1	6
8	Benfica Castelo Branco	4	−2	6
9	Fátima	4	+1	4
10	Atlético Malveira	4	−3	4
11	FC Alverca II	4	+2	3
12	Sertanense	4	−4	2
13	Fazendense	4	−7	1
14	Nazarenos	4	−9	0