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AD Nogueirense v Naval 1893
AD NogueirenseNaval 1893Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · SUN 11 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Naval 1893 win at 38%.
- 1′KICK-OFF AD Nogueirense v Naval 1893
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Naval 1893 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 36–27–38
- 5′Little has changed for our model: Naval 1893 38% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 35–27–37
- 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Naval 1893 win 32%)
- 45′HALF-TIME AD Nogueirense 0–0 Naval 1893
- 46′SECOND HALF AD Nogueirense 0–0 Naval 1893
- FTFULL TIME AD Nogueirense 0–0 Naval 1893
- FTAD Nogueirense 0–0 Naval 1893 · Naval 1893 win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.
The model’s prediction on this page stays free.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
AD Nogueirense win36%Naval 1893 win38%Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 15:00
Match timeline
All events
AD NogueirenseMINNaval 1893Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
AD Nogueirense
Naval 1893
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Naval 1893 | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 7 | AD Nogueirense | 4 | +1 | 6 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Naval 1893 a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| AD Nogueirense win | 36% | – | – |
| Draw | 27% | – | – |
| Naval 1893 win | 38% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | – | – |
| AD Nogueirense or draw | 62% | – | – |
| AD Nogueirense clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Naval 1893 clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.
Form · last six in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
AD NOGUEIRENSE
NAVAL 1893
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mortágua | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 |  O Elvas | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 |  Os Marialvas | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 |  Oliveira Hospital | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 5 |  UD da Serra | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 6 | Naval 1893 | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 7 | AD Nogueirense | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 8 |  Benfica Castelo Branco | 4 | −2 | 6 |
| 9 |  Fátima | 4 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 |  Atlético Malveira | 4 | −3 | 4 |
| 11 |  FC Alverca II | 4 | +2 | 3 |
| 12 |  Sertanense | 4 | −4 | 2 |
| 13 |  Fazendense | 4 | −7 | 1 |
| 14 |  Nazarenos | 4 | −9 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.