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Valadares Gaia W v Marítimo W

Valadares Gaia W

15:00Upcoming

Marítimo W

1a Divisão - Women · SUN 25 OCT · Estadio Dr. Jorge Sampaio

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Valadares Gaia WDrawMarítimo W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Valadares Gaia W 64%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Valadares Gaia W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Valadares Gaia W 64%, draw 22%, Marítimo W 14%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Valadares Gaia W v Marítimo WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Valadares Gaia W win64%

Draw22%

Marítimo W win14%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 5

VenueEstadio Dr. Jorge Sampaio

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Valadares Gaia W

Marítimo W

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 1a Divisão - Women

Last match: 18 Oct · 1a Divisão - Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Valadares Gaia W	4	0	6
10	Marítimo W	4	−22	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · valadares gaia w winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

64% The market–

Us64%

We make Valadares Gaia W a 64% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Valadares Gaia W v Marítimo W~~2.09 – 0.84

~~Form · 1a Divisão - Women this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D0 L2 · W0 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 6 v 0~~6 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Valadares Gaia W win	64%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Marítimo W win	14%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Valadares Gaia W or draw	86%	–	–
Valadares Gaia W clean sheet	44%	–	–
Marítimo W clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.2%

0123450 7.0 4.1 2.2 1 10.6 10.1 4.0 2 11.2 8.9 3.8 3 7.7 6.0 2.6 4 4.2 3.2 5 2.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Valadares Gaia W down, Marítimo W across0–5 goals a side shown (96.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 509 1a Divisão - Women matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1a Divisão - Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Valadares Gaia W at home: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Marítimo W away: 0.33 scored, 3.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.09 goals for Valadares Gaia W, 0.84 for Marítimo W. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 8

~~Both scored~~4 of 8

~~Last meetings~~MAR 0–1 VAL · VAL 2–3 MAR · VAL 3–1 MAR · MAR 1–0 VAL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · 1a Divisão - Women this season · since 12 Sept

VALADARES GAIA W

LLWW1–3 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–0

MARÍTIMO W

LLLL0–5 · 0–5 · 0–8 · 0–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sporting CP W	4	+8	10
2	Torreense W	4	+13	9
3	SL Benfica W	3	+9	9
4	Sporting Braga W	4	+7	8
5	Porto W	4	+2	6
6	Valadares Gaia W	4	0	6
7	Racing Power W	4	−4	4
8	Rio Ave W	4	−6	1
9	Vitoria Guimaraes W	3	−7	0
10	Marítimo W	4	−22	0