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Sporting Braga W v Torreense W

Sporting Braga W
0–3Full time
Torreense W

1a Divisão - Women · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 25 Oct 01:42
Sporting Braga W 0–3 Torreense W SPORTING BRAGA W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Sporting Braga W win39%
The market said28%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.633
The market’s Brier score0.453

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Sporting Braga W just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Sporting Braga W 39%, draw 26%, Torreense W 35%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Sporting Braga W v Torreense WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Sporting Braga W win39%
Draw26%
Torreense W win35%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sporting Braga W

Torreense W

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · 1a Divisão - Women

Last match: 18 Oct · 1a Divisão - Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Torreense W4+139
4Sporting Braga W4+78

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sporting braga w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 01:52 · locked at kick-off
39% The market28%
Us39%
Market28%

We make Sporting Braga W a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 28%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Sporting Braga W v Torreense W1.55 – 1.48
Form · 1a Divisão - Women this season · since 12 SeptW2 D2 L0 · W3 D0 L1
Table places · points 8 v 94 v 2
The market · Sporting Braga W win28% · ours 39%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
25%30%35%40% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 17:04
Our probability · Sporting Braga W win The market, margin stripped

Published at 37%, 39% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 28% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sporting Braga W win39%28%+11
Draw26%27%−1
Torreense W win35%45%−10
Over 2.5 goals57%50%+7
Both teams to score59%54%+5
Over 1.5 goals80%73%+7
Over 3.5 goals36%30%+6
Sporting Braga W or draw65%55%+10
Sporting Braga W clean sheet25%––
Torreense W clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%
0123450 6.5 6.6 5.3 2.7 1 7.0 11.6 7.6 3.8 2 6.0 8.1 5.7 2.8 3 3.1 4.2 3.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sporting Braga W down, Torreense W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting4.25
Over 2.55 of 8
Both scored6 of 8
Last meetingsSPO 1–1 TOR · TOR 2–5 SPO · TOR 0–2 SPO · SPO 4–1 TOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · 1a Divisão - Women this season · since 12 Sept

SPORTING BRAGA W

WDDW5–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 2–0

TORREENSE W

WWWL3–0 · 3–0 · 8–0 · 2–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Sporting CP W4+810
2Torreense W4+139
3SL Benfica W3+99
4Sporting Braga W4+78
5Porto W4+26
6Valadares Gaia W406
7Racing Power W4−44
8Rio Ave W4−61
9Vitoria Guimaraes W3−70
10Marítimo W4−220

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.